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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Baraniewski v Tafa Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus198 picks · conf 99/99
Baraniewski 174
24 Tafa
FMSdHC pick Baraniewski
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Baraniewski 8-0 VS 7-5 Tafa
6'0" height 6'3"
206 lb weight 205 lb
74" reach 75"
27 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 2.1
— striking accuracy 62%
— strikes absorbed / min 4.6
— striking defence 55%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.8
— takedown accuracy 49%
— takedown defence 90%
— submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Iwo Baraniewski “I got Iwo Baraniewski all day.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Iwo Baraniewski “My prediction's going to be Iwo Baraniewski with a round one KOTKO, takedown into ground and pound, or knockdown into ground and pound. The prediction is Iwo Baraniewski round one KOTKO.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Iwo Baraniewski “I think Iwo Baraniewski gonna win. That's what I think.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Iwo Baraniewski “And then EO by sub, a couple bonus bets here. Plus 500.” $6.00
P® Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Iwo Baraniewski “we have Iwo Baraniewski on the money line”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Iwo Baraniewski “I'm going sub 23 on Iwo Baraniewski and it's massive. It's 19 to1, 5,000 to one.”
GP Going Rounds Podcast picks Iwo Baraniewski “I think either way, Iwo Baraniewski is the favorite by minus 260” $1.38
AM Acolyte MMA picks Iwo Baraniewski “I'm obviously picking Iowa Bernoski via AKO in round one.”
MT MMA Tugg picks Iwo Baraniewski “I think Iwo Baraniewski is going to win the fight, but you got to be careful.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Iwo Baraniewski VALUE “I'm going with Iwo Baraniewski to win this fight by submission. I got his subprop plus 400.” $5.00
WP We Want Picks picks Iwo Baraniewski VALUE “Iwo Baraniewski is going to be the pick”
TB The Barnhill Brothers picks Iwo Baraniewski “Iwo Baraniewski finishes this fight by knockout. I actually like this one as a firstround knockout.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Baraniewski8-0
W Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Lane KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Aslan KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
Tafa7-5
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Christian KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Elekana Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Tokkos Submission · R2 Jul '25
W Sharaf KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24