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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ziam v Nolan Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus207 picks · conf 99/99
Ziam 170
37 Nolan
TMSCHM pick Ziam
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ziam 18-4 VS 10-1 Nolan
6'1" height 6'3"
156 lb weight 155 lb
75" reach 73"
29 age 26
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.8 strikes landed / min 2.5
43% striking accuracy 52%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
61% striking defence 59%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
37% takedown accuracy 42%
66% takedown defence 62%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Farès Ziam “give me Farès Ziam inside the distance at plus 115” $1.31
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Farès Ziam “I gotta go along with Farès Ziam.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Farès Ziam “I do like Farès Ziam. I do think he's I still think he's a sleeper to someday maybe fight for the lightweight title.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Tom Nolan “I'll go with Tom Nolan.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Farès Ziam “in the EVENT_DETAILS, in the middle of the EVENT_DETAILS, it's NOT_IN_ROSTER_23 over Tom Nolan.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Farès Ziam “give me Farès Ziam Xe on the money line at minus 310.” $1.32
P® Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Tom Nolan “just for you free this week, Tom Nolan on the money line” $3.60
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Farès Ziam “The other one I have is uh Farès Ziam decision, decision, Farès Ziam by decision”
GP Going Rounds Podcast picks Farès Ziam “I've got uh Farès Ziam beating Tom Nolan” $1.33
AM Acolyte MMA picks Farès Ziam “I got form via a KO in round two.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Farès Ziam “Fifth parlay piece, the final one is going to be Farès Ziam on the money line.”
WP We Want Picks picks Farès Ziam “I'm going to pick Fasam. I think he's better than Tom Nolan essentially everywhere. So, Farès Ziam is going to be the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ziam18-4
L Nolan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Sadykhov KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Davis Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Frevola KO/TKO · R3 Sep '24
W Puelles Decision · R3 Feb '24
Nolan10-1
W Ziam Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Campbell Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Reyes Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 May '24