MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Muhammad v Bonfim Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus242 picks · conf 99/99
Muhammad 175
67 Bonfim
CMMBFS pick Muhammad
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Muhammad 24-5 VS 19-1 Bonfim
5'11" height 6'1"
171 lb weight 170 lb
72" reach 72"
37 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 5.8
47% striking accuracy 42%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
59% striking defence 62%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.9
46% takedown accuracy 75%
77% takedown defence 73%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Belal Muhammad “I think Blau Belal Muhammad goes out there and takes a five round decision.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Belal Muhammad “I'm one more time being Belal Muhammad by decision.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE “my prediction's going to be Gabriel Bonfim to win a 48-47 with the judges.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Belal Muhammad “I'm picking Belal Muhammad to win this fight by a decision.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Belal Muhammad “I'm on Belal Muhammad here. ... I got Belal Muhammad at three different money line spots. Minus 142, 35, and minus 120.” $1.70
P® Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Belal Muhammad “Belal Muhammad is great man. I like how he blitzes forward. He can definitely box. We know he's got good wrestling.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Belal Muhammad “1925 and 27 to1 rounds three, four, five. I have to play him.”
GP Going Rounds Podcast picks Gabriel Bonfim “So I got Gabriel Bonfim” $2.25
AM Acolyte MMA picks Belal Muhammad “I'm going to go Belal Muhammad by decision.”
OE OE picks Gabriel Bonfim “I like Gabriel Bonfim. I really, really do. ... I'm going to go ahead and stick with below Muhammad. ... below, remember the name Muhammad will be able to take this this win”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Gabriel Bonfim “I think Gabriel Bonfim might knock out Belal Muhammad. Like he might knock him out.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Belal Muhammad “I think Belal Muhammad melts Gabriel Gabriel Bonfim by a decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Muhammad24-5
L Bonfim Decision · R5 Jun '26
L Garry Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Maddalena Decision · R5 May '25
W Edwards Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Burns Decision · R5 May '23
Bonfim19-1
W Muhammad Decision · R5 Jun '26
W Brown KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Thompson Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Williams Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Loosa Decision · R3 Jul '24