Choose a fight to analyse
BM
GB
Muhammad vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight
BA
ES
Allen vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight
FZ
TN
Ziam vs NolanMain Card · Lightweight
BM
SL
Mitchell vs LunaMain Card · Bantamweight
IB
JT
Baraniewski vs TafaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MS
AC
Schnell vs CostaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JY
McGhee vs YannisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BS
ÉC
Silva vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
PC
CC
Cachoeira vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JL
JB
Leavitt vs BritoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JC
YD
Chaves vs DubenPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KS
AC
Souza vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
GB
Muhammad vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight
BA
ES
Allen vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight
FZ
TN
Ziam vs NolanMain Card · Lightweight
BM
SL
Mitchell vs LunaMain Card · Bantamweight
IB
JT
Baraniewski vs TafaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MS
AC
Schnell vs CostaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JY
McGhee vs YannisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BS
ÉC
Silva vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
PC
CC
Cachoeira vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JL
JB
Leavitt vs BritoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JC
YD
Chaves vs DubenPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KS
AC
Souza vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mitchell v Luna
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mitchell 18-4
VS
8-0 Luna
5'10"
height
5'9"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
70"
reach
74"
31
age
21
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
2.3
strikes landed / min
—
58%
striking accuracy
—
1.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
58%
striking defence
—
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
—
41%
takedown accuracy
—
33%
takedown defence
—
1.6
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MF
Matt’Or Fact picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think Bryce Mitchell runs away with this one.”
Matt’Or Fact picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think Bryce Mitchell runs away with this one.”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“For me, guys, I have to be honest and say Santiago Luna this weekend is sticking out as a live underdog. And I think Santiago Luna gets it done this weekend.”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“For me, guys, I have to be honest and say Santiago Luna this weekend is sticking out as a live underdog. And I think Santiago Luna gets it done this weekend.”
P®
Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Bryce Mitchell
“Santiago Santiago Luna giving his um win streak off to Bryce Mitchell”
Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Bryce Mitchell
“Santiago Santiago Luna giving his um win streak off to Bryce Mitchell”
NA
NarcoCopMMA picks Santiago Luna
“I'm leaning Santiago Luna uh you know at at small plus money now.”
NarcoCopMMA picks Santiago Luna
“I'm leaning Santiago Luna uh you know at at small plus money now.”
GP
Going Rounds Podcast picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell beating Santiago Santiago Luna”
Going Rounds Podcast picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell beating Santiago Santiago Luna”
AM
Acolyte MMA picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell by decision here.”
Acolyte MMA picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell by decision here.”
OE
OE picks Santiago Luna
“There's no way I'm going to pick against the Harasa, guys. ... Santiago Luna is the pick, guys.”
OE picks Santiago Luna
“There's no way I'm going to pick against the Harasa, guys. ... Santiago Luna is the pick, guys.”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm gonna be going with Santiago Luna to actually win this fight by submission. I got three units on Santiago Luna moneyline and the subprop plus 1,200 is literally outrageous.”
$13.00
The Finz Chats picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm gonna be going with Santiago Luna to actually win this fight by submission. I got three units on Santiago Luna moneyline and the subprop plus 1,200 is literally outrageous.”
$13.00
BG
Bettor in Green picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think I have to go Bryce Bryce Mitchell still though, man.”
$1.77
Bettor in Green picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think I have to go Bryce Bryce Mitchell still though, man.”
$1.77
WP
We Want Picks picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm going to pick Santiago Luna”
We Want Picks picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm going to pick Santiago Luna”
TB
The Barnhill Brothers picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I am going with the underdog here, Santiago Santiago Luna.”
The Barnhill Brothers picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I am going with the underdog here, Santiago Santiago Luna.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I like him to knock knock Bryce out at about plus 460”
$5.60
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I like him to knock knock Bryce out at about plus 460”
$5.60
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mitchell18-4
W
Luna
Jun '26
W
Nurmagomedov
Jul '25
L
Silva
Apr '25
W
Gracie
Dec '24
L
Emmett
Dec '23
Luna8-0
L
Mitchell
Jun '26
W
Pacheco
Feb '26
W
Le
Sep '25