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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
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RM CD Moicano vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight VJ TR Jandiroba vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AY BR Yakhyaev vs RibeiroMain Card · Light Heavyweight EE RE Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight TM MZ McMillen vs ZecchiniMain Card · Featherweight GP TP Pat vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JD RR Delano vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight AC SN Costa vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight LV DF Vannata vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP HC Pereira vs CowanPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB TG Bekoev vs GorePreliminary Card · Middleweight DB MG Barbosa vs GattoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KI DH Kamaka III vs HopePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Kamaka III v Hope Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus74 picks · conf 77/99
Kamaka III 41
33 Hope
TGMMPR pick Kamaka III
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kamaka III 17-7-1 VS 1-0 Hope
5'7" height 5'6"
155 lb weight 155 lb
69" reach 67"
31 age 29
Orthodox stance --
5.0 strikes landed / min —
57% striking accuracy —
5.3 strikes absorbed / min —
55% striking defence —
1.9 takedowns / 15 min —
58% takedown accuracy —
52% takedown defence —
0.3 submissions / 15 min —
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Dakota Hope VALUE “I hope you win going to pick Dakota Hope. Give me Dakota Hope over Kai Kamaka III by second round Hope looks like.”
SM Surnett MMA picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE “Going with Kai Kamaka III”
RA RameiMMA picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE “I'm gonna pick Kai Kamaka III by uh by decision”
IM IJB MMA picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE “by knockout in the round of dose”
CA CasualMMA picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE “I am leaning towards Kai Kamaka III”
SM Simple MMA picks Dakota Hope VALUE “Give me Dakota Hope to win this fight by TKO.”
OR One More Round picks Dakota Hope “I'm rocking with Dakota Hope. And my girl's name Dakota Hope, too. So Dakota Hope, you're team Dakota Hope for sure >> I'm definitely team Dakota Hope.”
NM Next MMA picks Dakota Hope “I'm going with the debutant”
JE JetChaosMMA picks Dakota Hope VALUE “I'm going to go Dakota Hope here by decision”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Dakota Hope “I'm gonna go with Dakota Hope.”
PW P Welsh picks Dakota Hope VALUE “We got Dakota Hope here seems like he should be the the favor favor. uh favorite... So let's go Dakota Hope Bear on the start.”
TW The MMA Way picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE “I think Kai Kamaka III is just better overall. But like I said, Dakota has that 25% that 1/4 of a chance to land one shot... Give me Kai. Kai got that.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kamaka III17-7-1
W Hope Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Brown Decision · R3 May '21
L Pearce KO/TKO · R2 Nov '20
W Kelley Decision · R3 Aug '20
Hope1-0
L Kamaka III Decision · R3 Apr '26