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RE
Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Costa v Nicoll
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Costa 15-5
VS
8-2 Nicoll
5'4"
height
5'5"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
67"
reach
65"
30
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
2.5
48%
striking accuracy
60%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
62%
striking defence
51%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
54%
takedown accuracy
41%
69%
takedown defence
80%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SM
Surnett MMA picks Stewart Nicoll VALUE
“I like Stewart Nicoll Stewart Nicoll”
Surnett MMA picks Stewart Nicoll VALUE
“I like Stewart Nicoll Stewart Nicoll”
SM
Surnett MMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“we're going to go with Alessandro Costa H”
Surnett MMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“we're going to go with Alessandro Costa H”
RA
RameiMMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm going to pick Alessandro Costa by decision”
RameiMMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm going to pick Alessandro Costa by decision”
GM
GLO MMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm gonna have to go and pick Alessandro Costa to get this [__] done... via first round knockout”
GLO MMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm gonna have to go and pick Alessandro Costa to get this [__] done... via first round knockout”
CA
CasualMMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm picking Alessandro Costa just based off his resume”
CasualMMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm picking Alessandro Costa just based off his resume”
SA
Stoic Athlete picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“We're going to go with Alessandro Costa. He's just better.”
Stoic Athlete picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“We're going to go with Alessandro Costa. He's just better.”
NM
Next MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“Therefore, I'm going with Alessandro Costa, and why not?”
Next MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“Therefore, I'm going with Alessandro Costa, and why not?”
JE
JetChaosMMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm going to go Costa here by decision”
JetChaosMMA picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I'm going to go Costa here by decision”
PW
P Welsh picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I like Alessandro Costa, man. He's a good fighter. I think he's tough. I I want to see Nickel really have the fight of his life. I think that's what it's going to take to beat him.”
P Welsh picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I like Alessandro Costa, man. He's a good fighter. I think he's tough. I I want to see Nickel really have the fight of his life. I think that's what it's going to take to beat him.”
TW
The MMA Way picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I think Alessandro Costa is going to take that fight, but I uh let me see... 6040 fight. 40 leaning to Stewart, 60 leaning to Alessandro Costa. I think Alessandro Costa wins.”
The MMA Way picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I think Alessandro Costa is going to take that fight, but I uh let me see... 6040 fight. 40 leaning to Stewart, 60 leaning to Alessandro Costa. I think Alessandro Costa wins.”
RX
RX picks Alessandro Costa
“giving Aleandro Costa by decision”
RX picks Alessandro Costa
“giving Aleandro Costa by decision”
SP
SportsLine picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I like Alessandro Costa to win this fight by knockout or submission.”
$1.24
SportsLine picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“I like Alessandro Costa to win this fight by knockout or submission.”
$1.24
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa15-5
W
Schnell
Jun '26
W
Nicoll
Apr '26
L
Coria
Sep '25
W
Borjas
May '24
L
Erceg
Nov '23
Nicoll8-2
L
Costa
Apr '26
L
Rocha
Oct '25
L
Aguilar
Aug '24