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Moicano vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight
VJ
TR
Jandiroba vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
AY
BR
Yakhyaev vs RibeiroMain Card · Light Heavyweight
EE
RE
Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight
TM
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McMillen vs ZecchiniMain Card · Featherweight
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TP
Pat vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JD
RR
Delano vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight
AC
SN
Costa vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LV
DF
Vannata vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Catchweight
AP
HC
Pereira vs CowanPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AB
TG
Bekoev vs GorePreliminary Card · Middleweight
DB
MG
Barbosa vs GattoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pat v Petersen
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pat 6-0
VS
10-4 Petersen
6'5"
height
6'1"
238 lb
weight
246 lb
81"
reach
74"
32
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
—
strikes landed / min
4.6
—
striking accuracy
55%
—
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
—
striking defence
54%
—
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
—
takedown accuracy
36%
—
takedown defence
78%
—
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Guilherme Pat VALUE
“Guilherme Pat, I'm pretty sure, is a But Gear made Guilherme Pat won in the first think he'll beat Thomas Petersen. beat Thomas Petersen and he's like a him, Tommy McMillen, and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev on a parlay. Guilherme Pat's plus money. So, [ __ ] it. I'd ride fly.”
RA
RameiMMA picks Guilherme Pat VALUE
“Guilherme Pat round two TKO. It's going to smoke him out flat.”
RA
RameiMMA picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I'm feeling a Renato Hanato Renato Moicano submission... Main card predictions... Hinata Renato Moicano”
SA
Stoic Athlete picks Guilherme Pat VALUE
“We're going to go with Guilherme Pat to win this fight.”
OR
One More Round picks Guilherme Pat
“I'm going with my boy Guilherme Pat.”
NM
Next MMA picks Guilherme Pat
“So, in this fight I have no doubts and I'm going with Guilherme Pat and I think he's going to I'm going with Guilherme Pat and I think he's going to I'm going with Guilherme Pat and I think he's going to knock out Thomas Thomas Petersen.”
CM
Crashout MMA picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“Thomas Petersen is going to get KO brutally.”
BM
Bedtime MMA picks Thomas Petersen
“I'm going to pick Thomas Petersen to win”
TW
The MMA Way picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I think Thomas Petersen really takes that safe bet... I think Thomas Petersen is is going to handle that pretty easily. Maybe finish on the ground. Likely decision.”
SN
SniperWins picks Guilherme Pat VALUE
“I'm going to go with Guilherme Pat ... he's Guilherme Pat as the straightup pick. bit of value on Guilherme Pat”
RX
RX picks Guilherme Pat
“give me go a hair made pet by decision”
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Guilherme Pat VALUE
“Gary Guilherme Pat second round knockout”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pat6-0
L
Petersen
Apr '26
W
Frye
Dec '25
Petersen10-4
W
Pat
Apr '26
L
Petrino
Oct '25
W
Mayes
May '25
L
Gaziev
Feb '25
W
Usman
Jul '24