MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
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RM CD Moicano vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight VJ TR Jandiroba vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AY BR Yakhyaev vs RibeiroMain Card · Light Heavyweight EE RE Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight TM MZ McMillen vs ZecchiniMain Card · Featherweight GP TP Pat vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JD RR Delano vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight AC SN Costa vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight LV DF Vannata vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP HC Pereira vs CowanPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB TG Bekoev vs GorePreliminary Card · Middleweight DB MG Barbosa vs GattoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KI DH Kamaka III vs HopePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Vannata v Flowers Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus78 picks · conf 78/99
Vannata 56
22 Flowers
TDMTGO pick Vannata
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vannata 12-7-2 VS 12-8-1 Flowers
5'9" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 155 lb
71" reach 71"
34 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.1
45% striking accuracy 49%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
55% striking defence 44%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
37% takedown accuracy 28%
69% takedown defence 63%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SM Surnett MMA picks Lando Vannata VALUE “I'm going with Lando Vannata”
RA RameiMMA picks Darrius Flowers VALUE “I'm still picking Darrius Flowers here”
GM GLO MMA picks Lando Vannata VALUE “I'm going to pick Tommy McMillan, first round rear naked choke”
IM IJB MMA picks Darrius Flowers VALUE
CA CasualMMA picks Darrius Flowers VALUE “I am actually kind of leaning towards Darrius Flowers”
SM Simple MMA picks Lando Vannata VALUE “give me Lando Vannata to win by decision”
NM Next MMA picks Lando Vannata “So, I'm going with Lando Vannata”
WP We Want Picks picks Darrius Flowers “I'll take a Darrius Flowers”
CM Crashout MMA picks Darrius Flowers VALUE “I'm going to give Darrius Flowers his Darrius Flowers. I think he's going to win this one.”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Darrius Flowers “I with Darrius Flowers to win this fight.”
UB UFC Brasil picks Darrius Flowers “Darrius Flowers Lando Vannata. In a lightweight bout, Darrius Flowers”
PW P Welsh picks Lando Vannata VALUE “I'm going to pick uh Lando Vannata just because Darrius Flowers has lost me so many times. I just can't go with him one more time.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vannata12-7-2
L Flowers KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Zellhuber Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Jourdain Submission · R1 Apr '22
W Grundy Decision · R3 May '21
L Green Decision · R3 Aug '20
Flowers12-8-1
W Vannata KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Elder Submission · R2 Jul '24
L Johnson Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Matthews Submission · R2 Jul '23