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Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
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Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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KS
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Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Prophecy read
Nakamura v Szalay
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nakamura 7-1
VS
10-1 Szalay
5'10"
height
5'6"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
70"
reach
66"
37
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
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strikes landed / min
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striking accuracy
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strikes absorbed / min
—
—
striking defence
—
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takedowns / 15 min
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takedown accuracy
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takedown defence
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submissions / 15 min
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The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
Crashout MMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura VALUE
“Keiichiro Nakamura against NOT_IN_ROSTER_15”
IE
IENJOYFIGHTS picks Keiichiro Nakamura VALUE
“He knocked down Nakamura in the second round... Nakamura was moving forward... put Sizzle out in the third round.”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Sebastian Szalay VALUE
“I'm going Sebastian Szalay on this one.”
FI
FightCircuit picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“MVP is going to knock out Keiichiro Nakamura in this one”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Sebastian Szalay
“And I've got uh Sebastian Szalay by decision.”
NI
Nick23mma picks Keiichiro Nakamura VALUE
“I'm going to go with Keiichiro Nakamura”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Sebastian Szalay
“I'll go Sebastian Szalay via Sebastian Szalay over Keiichiro Nakamura.”
MM
Minted MMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I chose um Keiichiro Nakamura. ... just feel like Keiichiro Nakamura is bigger than Sebastian Szalay”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I'm going for Keiichiro Nakamura. Keiichiro Nakamura is probably going to beat this guy here.”
CR
Chris Roman picks Sebastian Szalay
“I like Sebastian Szalay here.”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I am going to take Keiichiro Nakamura in this one. I'm going to take him by decision.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I'm going with Keiichiro Nakamura with Keiichiro Nakamura to win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nakamura7-1
W
Szalay
Feb '26
Szalay10-1
L
Nakamura
Feb '26