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UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Micallef v Elliott Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus146 picks · conf 99/99
Micallef 81
65 Elliott
TFMMMD pick Micallef
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Micallef 9-1 VS 12-4 Elliott
6'0" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 169 lb
77" reach 72"
27 age 28
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 2.4
56% striking accuracy 51%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
63% striking defence 72%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
57% takedown accuracy 64%
61% takedown defence 58%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM Crashout MMA picks Jonathan Micallef VALUE “Jonathan Micallef uh I'm pretty sure he he choked out open Elliot”
IE IENJOYFIGHTS picks Oban Elliott VALUE “he got the takedown and got his back got the rear naked choke in the second round.”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Jonathan Micallef VALUE “I have Jonathan winning that fight”
FI FightCircuit picks Oban Elliott “Oban Elliott is versus”
NI Nick23mma picks Oban Elliott VALUE “Jonathan Micallef versus Oban McAuliffe to be Oban Elliott”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Oban Elliott VALUE “I'm leaning the the Oban Elliott side. Um, Oban Elliott here” $2.10
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Jonathan Micallef “Give me Jacob McAlliff over Oban Elliott. I'm going dog here, guys.”
MM Minted MMA picks Oban Elliott “I have Oban Elliott via round two K.O.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Oban Elliott “I've got Oban Elliott winning that on here.”
CR Chris Roman picks Oban Elliott “Jonathan Micallef versus Oban Elliott. Oban Elliott.”
MM MMA Milton picks Oban Elliott “Uh I think Oban Elliott's going to win. ... so I'm gonna go Oban Elliott”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Jonathan Micallef “I am going to take Jonathan Micallef in this one. I think he gets this done by submission.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Micallef9-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 May '26
W Elliott Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Jousset Decision · R3 Feb '25
Elliott12-4
L Micallef Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Seok-hyun Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Hafez KO/TKO · R3 Nov '24
W Parsons Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Woodburn Decision · R3 Feb '24