Choose a fight to analyse
AV
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tafa v Elekana
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tafa 7-5
VS
9-2 Elekana
6'3"
height
6'3"
205 lb
weight
205 lb
75"
reach
78"
29
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
2.1
strikes landed / min
—
62%
striking accuracy
—
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
striking defence
—
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
—
49%
takedown accuracy
—
90%
takedown defence
—
1.3
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
Crashout MMA picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“Junior Tafa looked the same way at his last he looked the same as his last fight against that NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 guy... He wobbled him, rocked him... but then he gets taken down and choke and he taps like chicken.”
Crashout MMA picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“Junior Tafa looked the same way at his last he looked the same as his last fight against that NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 guy... He wobbled him, rocked him... but then he gets taken down and choke and he taps like chicken.”
FM
Fight Capital Media picks Junior Tafa
“Billy Elekana versus Junior Tafa. Well, Junior Tafa, I'm sorry, but he's versus Billy Elekana Elena, though he knocked him down, so good for him.”
Fight Capital Media picks Junior Tafa
“Billy Elekana versus Junior Tafa. Well, Junior Tafa, I'm sorry, but he's versus Billy Elekana Elena, though he knocked him down, so good for him.”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“Junior Tafa is not winning this fight”
Anchor MMA picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“Junior Tafa is not winning this fight”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“Junior Tafa is not winning this fight”
Anchor MMA picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“Junior Tafa is not winning this fight”
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“I give it to Bailey Alakana by unanimous decision”
Knuckles MMA picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“I give it to Bailey Alakana by unanimous decision”
BP
Battle Cage Podcast picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“I'm going with Billy Elekana”
Battle Cage Podcast picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“I'm going with Billy Elekana”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Billy Elekana
“Still my pick Billy Elekana.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Billy Elekana
“Still my pick Billy Elekana.”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Billy Elekana
“think Billy Elekana over Junior Tafa”
The Mike Finch Show picks Billy Elekana
“think Billy Elekana over Junior Tafa”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Billy Elekana
“when he beats uh Junior Tafa, and he will beat Junior Tafa, he is probably going to win by uh uh he's probably going to TKO him.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Billy Elekana
“when he beats uh Junior Tafa, and he will beat Junior Tafa, he is probably going to win by uh uh he's probably going to TKO him.”
HO
HotTakeCity picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“I'm going Billy Elekana. Billy Elekana probably by second round knockout.”
HotTakeCity picks Billy Elekana VALUE
“I'm going Billy Elekana. Billy Elekana probably by second round knockout.”
HP
Harold Porte picks Billy Elekana
“Billy Elekana has more ways to win this fight I think Billy Elekana to win by”
Harold Porte picks Billy Elekana
“Billy Elekana has more ways to win this fight I think Billy Elekana to win by”
MM
MMA Milton picks Billy Elekana
“And I'm going to go Billy Elekana”
MMA Milton picks Billy Elekana
“And I'm going to go Billy Elekana”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tafa7-5
L
Baraniewski
Jun '26
W
Christian
May '26
L
Elekana
Feb '26
L
Tokkos
Jul '25
W
Sharaf
Oct '24
Elekana9-2
W
Tafa
Feb '26
W
Christian
Nov '25
W
Aslan
Jul '25
L
Guskov
Jan '25