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Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
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Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
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DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Volkanovski v Lopes
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Volkanovski 27-4
VS
27-8 Lopes
5'6"
height
5'11"
145 lb
weight
146 lb
72"
reach
72"
37
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.0
strikes landed / min
3.5
51%
striking accuracy
58%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
57%
striking defence
56%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
48%
takedown accuracy
39%
70%
takedown defence
52%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
Crashout MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“None”
CM
Crashout MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Van let's go sh Benoît Saint Denis beats Dan Hooker”
DF
DFitMMA picks Diego Lopes
“even though I picked Diego Lopes to win.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I got to go with Alexander Volkanovski cuz he's a dog.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Diego Lopes
“He's going to go out there and knock out Alexander Volkanovski”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I pick Vulcganoski again.”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I'm going with Alexander Vulcanoski to keep the flyweight strap”
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I know Vog's going to win this fight ... I could see Vulcanoski getting caught with the same cross right down the middle that he did in the first fight”
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I have Alexander Volkanovski by uh unanimous decision”
FI
FightCircuit picks Diego Lopes
“Diego Lopes his number”
BP
Battle Cage Podcast picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“My pick was Diego Lopes”
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“Diego Lopes is going to finish Alexander Volkanovski by submission”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkanovski27-4
W
Lopes
Feb '26
W
Lopes
Apr '25
L
Topuria
Feb '24
L
Makhachev
Oct '23
W
Rodríguez
Jul '23
Lopes27-8
W
Garcia
Jun '26
L
Volkanovski
Feb '26
W
Silva
Sep '25
L
Volkanovski
Apr '25
W
Ortega
Sep '24