Choose a fight to analyse
AV
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Fiziev v Ruffy
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Fiziev 13-5
VS
13-2 Ruffy
5'8"
height
5'11"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
71"
reach
75"
33
age
30
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
2.5
51%
striking accuracy
49%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
49%
striking defence
49%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
40%
takedown accuracy
30%
89%
takedown defence
69%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
Crashout MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy won it”
Crashout MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy won it”
DF
DFitMMA picks Rafael Fiziev
“I picked Rafael Fiziev to win this fight”
DFitMMA picks Rafael Fiziev
“I picked Rafael Fiziev to win this fight”
NO
NorthernLights picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy defeats Rafael Fiziev by second round TKO”
NorthernLights picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy defeats Rafael Fiziev by second round TKO”
FM
Fight Capital Media picks Maurício Ruffy
“I had Rafael Fiziev wrong. Maurício Ruffy caught him good. Maurício Ruffy performance from Maurício Ruffy.”
Fight Capital Media picks Maurício Ruffy
“I had Rafael Fiziev wrong. Maurício Ruffy caught him good. Maurício Ruffy performance from Maurício Ruffy.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Rafael Fiziev
“Give me uh Rafael Fiziev by decision.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Rafael Fiziev
“Give me uh Rafael Fiziev by decision.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'm picking Maurício Ruffy to get”
GLO MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'm picking Maurício Ruffy to get”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I'm going to go with Raphael Faz”
Anchor MMA picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I'm going to go with Raphael Faz”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think too many people are glazing Mauricio Ruffy just cuz he's a fighting nerd, you know, he's got the bigger name, but Faziv is good. People forget that not that long ago he on short notice he really tested Gachi. Um that fight versus Gachi was really really close. Um that third round was the deciding factor on who was going to win. And as you know Gachi is the interim champ right now. So he's he's no joke. So I think Raphael Phys will win a comfortable 2928 decision”
Anchor MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think too many people are glazing Mauricio Ruffy just cuz he's a fighting nerd, you know, he's got the bigger name, but Faziv is good. People forget that not that long ago he on short notice he really tested Gachi. Um that fight versus Gachi was really really close. Um that third round was the deciding factor on who was going to win. And as you know Gachi is the interim champ right now. So he's he's no joke. So I think Raphael Phys will win a comfortable 2928 decision”
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I do give it to Rafael Faz by unanimous decision”
Knuckles MMA picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I do give it to Rafael Faz by unanimous decision”
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I did predict Maurício Ruffy”
Industry Plant MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I did predict Maurício Ruffy”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Rafael Fiziev
“I'm going to go with Rafael Fiziev.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Rafael Fiziev
“I'm going to go with Rafael Fiziev.”
VI
Vicious421 picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy's going to come and take this victory”
Vicious421 picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy's going to come and take this victory”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Fiziev13-5
W
Torres
Jun '26
L
Ruffy
Feb '26
W
Bahamondes
Jun '25
L
Gaethje
Mar '25
L
Gamrot
Sep '23
Ruffy13-2
W
Chandler
Jun '26
W
Fiziev
Feb '26
L
Denis
Sep '25
W
Green
Mar '25
W
Llontop
Nov '24