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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Haqparast v Salkilld Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus123 picks · conf 97/99
Haqparast 75
48 Salkilld
NHCBTD pick Haqparast
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Haqparast 17-5 VS 11-1 Salkilld
5'10" height 6'0"
156 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 75"
30 age 26
Southpaw stance Orthodox
6.2 strikes landed / min 5.4
44% striking accuracy 55%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
62% striking defence 43%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 9.0
20% takedown accuracy 40%
84% takedown defence 100%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE “pick Nasrat Haqparast”
MC McManusMMA picks Nasrat Haqparast “I'm going to lean towards Nasrat Haqparast on this one.”
KS Kenny White Sports picks Nasrat Haqparast “I mean that's almost a fickum”
AF Alex Talks Fights picks Nasrat Haqparast “So, I'm going Nasrat Haqparast to get it done.” $1.95
DS Dynes Sports picks Quillan Salkilld “more inclined to go with Quillan Salkilld”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Quillan Salkilld “Quillan Salkilld against Nasrat Haqparast. This is your best bet, Billy. So, three-inch reach advantage... He's faster, hits harder, neck down... he has really good trips and throws and even strikes from”
BI Birddogmma picks Nasrat Haqparast “my pick here is Naz by Decision.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE “I do have Quillan Salkilld to win by decision.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Quillan Salkilld “But I actually do he can break Nasrat Haqparast as the fight goes on”
RX RX picks Quillan Salkilld “Give me Quillan Salkilld by decision.”
FM FULL SEND MMA picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE “I'm going with Nasrat Haqparast on the money line. You can get him at even money”
FI FightCircuit picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE “Azamat Murzakanov is going to win Nasrat Haqparast can capitalize on, but win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Haqparast17-5
L Salkilld KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Ribovics Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Gordon Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Mullarkey KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Quiñones Decision · R3 Sep '23
Salkilld11-1
W Dariush KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Mullarkey Submission · R1 Feb '26
W Haqparast KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Ashmouz Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Jubli KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25