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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
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TA CG Aspinall vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight VJ MD Jandiroba vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight UN MB Nurmagomedov vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight AV JA Volkov vs AlmeidaMain Card · Heavyweight AR AM Rakić vs MurzakanovMain Card · Light Heavyweight ĽK MR Klein vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight IA PJ Aliskerov vs Jun-yongPreliminary Card · Middleweight NW JD Wood vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA CB Abdelwahab vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AM MR Maksum vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA MI Amorim vs InouePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight NH QS Haqparast vs SalkilldPreliminary Card · Lightweight VW LS Walker vs SutherlandPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Volkov v Almeida Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus254 picks · conf 99/99
Volkov 134
120 Almeida
NMCCFK pick Volkov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Volkov 39-11 VS 22-4 Almeida
6'7" height 6'3"
261 lb weight 237 lb
80" reach 79"
37 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 2.5
57% striking accuracy 64%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 0.7
55% striking defence 40%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 6.8
63% takedown accuracy 59%
73% takedown defence 75%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 2.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MC McManusMMA picks Jailton Almeida “have given this fight to Jailton Almeida.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I can see that homie ... a late round finish probably like round three knockout”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “So I'm going to have to pick Vera here. I'm gonna go Vera by decision”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “Jailton Almeida 8800 Alexander Volkov 7400”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkov “Alexander Volkov uh Abdaw Wahab - 600”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “Alexander Volkov.”
GM GLO MMA picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “Alexander Volkov to get this [ __ ] done”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jailton Almeida “I think Jailton Almeida is think, um, Volkov knows Jailton Almeida is >> first fight”
ES etoft21 sports picks Alexander Volkov “We are going to take Alexander Volkov shooter shoot.”
TF The Fight Forecast picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I'm going Alexander Volkov Rakage to get back on the winning track here.”
_O _Octagon_Insights_ picks Alexander Volkov “give me Alexander Volkov by knockout or submission”
KS Kenny White Sports picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I like Alexander Volkov at plus 155. Um boy he is a good happen in this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Volkov39-11
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 May '26
W Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Gane Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Pavlovich Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Tuivasa Submission · R2 Sep '23
Almeida22-4
L Kuniev Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Volkov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Spivac KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Romanov Submission · R1 Jun '24
L Blaydes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24