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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Klein v Rębecki Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus164 picks · conf 99/99
Klein 108
56 Rębecki
MCLTPB pick Klein
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Klein 11-5 VS 20-4 Rębecki
6'1" height 5'7"
206 lb weight 155 lb
63" reach 66"
— age 33
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.7 strikes landed / min 4.7
56% striking accuracy 48%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
49% striking defence 54%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 3.8
30% takedown accuracy 75%
55% takedown defence 45%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Mateusz Rębecki “Mateusz Rębecki at 7,800”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Ľudovít Klein “Ľudovít Klein at 8,400”
MC McManusMMA picks Ľudovít Klein “Yeah, I think I'm going Ľudovít Klein on this one.”
AF Alex Talks Fights picks Ľudovít Klein “I'm going to go Ľudovít Klein to win this one. ... decision win for Ľudovít Klein.” $1.74
SP SportsBettingHUB picks Mateusz Rębecki “I'm going to go Mateusz Rębecki to get it done.”
SP SportsBettingHUB picks Mateusz Rębecki “give me Mateusz Rębecki to get it done.”
DS Dynes Sports picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE “So I do favor him here as the Mateusz Rębecki side here.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE “I certainly want a pre-fight ticket on Mateusz Rębecki at about plus 110 against Ľudovít Klein.” $2.10
BI Birddogmma picks Mateusz Rębecki “Mateusz Rębecki is my dog pick. I like me Mateusz Rębecki. ... So, yeah, give me Mateusz Rębecki.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE “have Mateusz Rębecki to win by decision, but I can definitely see Ľudovít Klein shinning him... Well, you got Mateusz Rębecki basically a lock.”
RX RX picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE “Give me Mateusz Rębecki by decision.”
FM FULL SEND MMA picks Ľudovít Klein “I'm going to take Ľudovít Klein to win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Klein11-5
W Rębecki Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Gamrot Decision · R3 May '25
W Roberts Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Moisés Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Cunningham KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24
Rębecki20-4
L Dawson Submission · R3 May '26
L Klein Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Duncan Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Orolbai Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R3 May '24