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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Croden v Lisboa Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus126 picks · conf 99/99
Croden 61
65 Lisboa
ALLLRL pick Croden
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Croden 7-3 VS 7-3 Lisboa
5'9" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 135 lb
69" reach 67"
35 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.9 strikes landed / min 3.1
62% striking accuracy 54%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
54% striking defence 68%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
66% takedown accuracy 60%
76% takedown defence 87%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Melissa Croden VALUE “I'm going to take Yeah.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Melissa Croden
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Tainara Lisboa “So I go Tainara Lisboa decision.”
KU Kunath picks Melissa Croden “Melissa Croden going to get a decent amount of able to get Tainara Lisboa down to the easy money.”
MF MMA FISHERMAN picks Melissa Croden “to be Melissa Croden. Her only loss is quality more than Tainara Lisboa.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Melissa Croden VALUE “My pick is Melissa Croden.” $2.44
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Melissa Croden “I should have put Melissa Croden in my confident picks.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Tainara Lisboa “I really do think Tinara Tainara Lisboa longot bet with Tainara Lisboa by sub.”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Melissa Croden VALUE “I'Mike Malott taking Melissa Croden to win and give me the dog Melissa Croden”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Melissa Croden “who I think who can utilize her Tainara Lisboa and that will allow Melissa Croden to”
WP We Want Picks picks Melissa Croden “local Canadian Melissa Croden.”
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Tainara Lisboa “I think Tainara Lisboa”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Croden7-3
W Zheleznyakova Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lisboa KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
Lisboa7-3
L Croden KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Santos Submission · R2 May '25
W Oliveira Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Clark Submission · R3 May '23