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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bekoev v Belgaroui Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus130 picks · conf 99/99
Bekoev 114
16 Belgaroui
BTEALB pick Bekoev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bekoev 0-0 VS 9-3 Belgaroui
6'0" height 6'6"
185 lb weight 185 lb
72" reach 79"
30 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 3.5
38% striking accuracy 59%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
49% striking defence 63%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
29% takedown accuracy 72%
60% takedown defence 59%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Azamat Bekoev VALUE “I'm going to stick with Stephanie Luciano but I'm not confident in it.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Azamat Bekoev “But I'm going to have to go Azamat Bekoev.”
SM Skath MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui “I think Yousri Belgaroui is going to win a 2928 decision.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Azamat Bekoev “Azamat Bekoev is my pick.” $1.91
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Azamat Bekoev “Azamat Bekoev's about to wrestle and probably submit”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Azamat Bekoev “I think Azamat Bekoev wins”
TC The Finz Chats picks Azamat Bekoev “Azamat Bekoev on the money line. 1.4 four out Yousri Belgaroui on the feet. I think he can take down Yousri Belgaroui potentially submit him”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Azamat Bekoev “Um, I like Azamat Bekoev.”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Azamat Bekoev “So look for Azamat Bekoev to mix this up going up against Yousri Belgaroui.”
MT MMA Tugg picks Azamat Bekoev VALUE “Give me Azamat Bekoev”
WP We Want Picks picks Azamat Bekoev “I think Azamat Bekoev wins this fight.”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Azamat Bekoev “go with Azamat Bekoev early on in the night over Yousri Belgaroui and that'll be 20”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bekoev0-0
L Gore Submission · R3 Apr '26
L Belgaroui KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Loder KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Reese KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
Belgaroui9-3
W Abdul-Malik KO/TKO · R3 Mar '26
W Bekoev KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25