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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Prepolec v Dober Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus149 picks · conf 99/99
Prepolec 42
107 Dober
LRTBYD pick Prepolec
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Prepolec 18-9 VS 28-15 Dober
5'10" height 5'8"
155 lb weight 155 lb
70" reach 70"
36 age 37
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.6 strikes landed / min 2.9
52% striking accuracy 52%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
50% striking defence 47%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
74% takedown accuracy 51%
73% takedown defence 66%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Kyle Prepolec VALUE “I'm gonna take Kyle Prepolec.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Drew Dober VALUE “I'm gonna take Drew Dober.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Drew Dober “Drew Dober wins.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Kyle Prepolec “I'm gonna go with a Kyle Kyle Prepolec decision win.”
MF MMA FISHERMAN picks Drew Dober “Drew Dober by KO easy.”
RI RightTakeMMA picks Drew Dober “I think Drew Dober is going to absolutely wipe the floor with him.”
SM Skath MMA picks Drew Dober “Um I think Drew Dober will run at hits hard. Drew Dober by”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Drew Dober “Yeah. I mean, I got Drew Dober winning that” $1.64
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Drew Dober “you can still bet on Drew Dober and Drew Dober is on, bro.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Drew Dober “Drew Dober is a big favorite... he should win”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Kyle Prepolec “...”
TC The Finz Chats picks Drew Dober “So, Drew Dober units on Drew Dober's subprop 700. ... got a subprop for Drew Dober.” $8.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Prepolec18-9
L Dober KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Denis Submission · R2 May '25
L Hubbard Decision · R3 Sep '19
L Taleb Decision · R3 May '19
Dober28-15
W Johnson KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Prepolec KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Torres KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jul '24
L Moicano Decision · R3 Feb '24