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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read de Ridder v Allen Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus224 picks · conf 99/99
de Ridder 196
28 Allen
TFENM pick de Ridder
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
de Ridder 21-3 VS 26-7 Allen
6'4" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 75"
35 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 5.9
47% striking accuracy 36%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
59% striking defence 53%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
60% takedown accuracy 62%
87% takedown defence 53%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I like Brendan Allen's”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “I have Reinier de Ridder. I think Reinier de Ridder finds his way to Brendan Allen's back. I think So, give me Reinier de Ridder to win this fight.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I think Brendan Allen is going to being effective. I think Reinier de Ridder finds his way to Brendan Allen's back.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I'm taking Brendan Allen.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Reinier de Ridder “Reinier de Ridder goes out there and submits Brendan Allen”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Reinier de Ridder “going to go with Reinier de Ridder in this”
MF MMA FISHERMAN picks Reinier de Ridder “...”
RI RightTakeMMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I'm going to go with Reinier de Ridder purely off the fact of his uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 performance and the fact he was able to keep up in the striking with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1.”
AM AA MMA picks Brendan Allen “combine to give Brendan Allen the edge he”
SM Skath MMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I got Reinier de Ridder by third round.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I got Reinier de Ridder winning this”
FA Faustlife19 picks Brendan Allen “I would say Brendan Allen by TKO, second round.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
de Ridder21-3
L Borralho Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Allen KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Whittaker Decision · R5 Jul '25
W Nickal KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Holland Submission · R1 Jan '25
Allen26-7
W Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Ridder KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Vettori Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Imavov Decision · R3 Sep '24