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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nolan v Campbell Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus72 picks · conf 76/99
Nolan 0
72 Campbell
pick Nolan
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nolan 10-1 VS 8-0 Campbell
6'3" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 146 lb
73" reach 72"
26 age 23
Southpaw stance Switch
2.5 strikes landed / min 5.9
52% striking accuracy 47%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
59% striking defence 50%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
42% takedown accuracy 52%
62% takedown defence 80%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM Topside MMA picks Charlie Campbell “This is a recipe for a knockout.”
FF Fite Feed picks Charlie Campbell “Charlie Campbell, Junior Tafa.”
FA Fantomas Analysis picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “worth it to have NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 and therefore he is moderate or smaller for me or Charlie Campbell”
CU CultureCast picks Charlie Campbell “Dominick Reyes told CBS Sports Brian Charlie Campbell. My mindset has shifted Charlie Campbell. My mindset has shifted Charlie Campbell.”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Charlie Campbell “I'm expecting Charlie Campbell shot before Tom Nolan can establish his rhythm.”
UM Us vs Them MMA picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “prediction, I'm going to go with Charlie Campbell by decision.” $2.30
TP Tony's Picks picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “I'm looking Charlie Campbell here plus 125.” $2.25
AS Austin Shobe picks Charlie Campbell “All right, I'm going to go with Charlie Campbell”
RB Run Pure Sports | We Build Winners. DFS & Bets picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “I think Charlie Campbell has more tools in the pocket.” $1.80
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “people are picking him around 75% of the time compared to average odds closer to 60%.”
RX RX picks Charlie Campbell “Give me Charlie Campbell by decision.”
SG Seth Geko picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “Give me Charlie Campbell. I think he's a little a little slicker.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nolan10-1
W Ziam Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Campbell Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Reyes Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 May '24
Campbell8-0
L Nolan Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Peek Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '23