Choose a fight to analyse
CU
DR
Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JJ
RT
Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight
JC
IE
Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JM
NM
Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight
NS
RB
Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LL
AT
Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CR
AP
Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CT
JM
Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
RB
Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MM
LC
Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BP
EE
Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TN
CC
Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
DR
Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JJ
RT
Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight
JC
IE
Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JM
NM
Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight
NS
RB
Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LL
AT
Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CR
AP
Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CT
JM
Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
RB
Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MM
LC
Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BP
EE
Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TN
CC
Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Thicknesse v Musasa
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Thicknesse 8-1
VS
8-2 Musasa
5'7"
height
5'8"
135 lb
weight
135 lb
69"
reach
74"
27
age
27
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
2.5
strikes landed / min
2.6
50%
striking accuracy
40%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
69%
striking defence
48%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
25%
takedown accuracy
64%
76%
takedown defence
55%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Josias Musasa VALUE
“I think Josias Musasa might definitely win this fight.”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Josias Musasa VALUE
“I think Josias Musasa might definitely win this fight.”
TM
Topside MMA picks Josias Musasa
“Josiah Josias Musasa is training, but not at the same level.”
Topside MMA picks Josias Musasa
“Josiah Josias Musasa is training, but not at the same level.”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“I picked Colby Thicknesse down with the thick.”
The MMA-Holes picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“I picked Colby Thicknesse down with the thick.”
MM
mmanow27 picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“Colby Thicknesse vers Josias Musasa is fun.”
mmanow27 picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“Colby Thicknesse vers Josias Musasa is fun.”
BI
BigCMMA picks Colby Thicknesse
“I think Kobe thickness is going to win a 29 28 unanimous or split decision”
BigCMMA picks Colby Thicknesse
“I think Kobe thickness is going to win a 29 28 unanimous or split decision”
MS
Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Colby Thicknesse
“Colby Thicknesse [__] give me Bora boys got”
Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Colby Thicknesse
“Colby Thicknesse [__] give me Bora boys got”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“I'm going to go with the thickness. Not I'm not really down with the thickness, but I will pick Kobe over Josias Musasa.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“I'm going to go with the thickness. Not I'm not really down with the thickness, but I will pick Kobe over Josias Musasa.”
FF
Fite Feed picks Colby Thicknesse
“Michelle Montague, Colby Thicknesse, Jamie,”
Fite Feed picks Colby Thicknesse
“Michelle Montague, Colby Thicknesse, Jamie,”
EM
EXPERTO DE MMA picks Colby Thicknesse
“I'm going with Colby Thicknesse.”
EXPERTO DE MMA picks Colby Thicknesse
“I'm going with Colby Thicknesse.”
KT
Kurt Tay picks Colby Thicknesse
“Colby Thicknesse versus Josias Musasa. Oh, Oh, Oh, we win. We win. You guess you guess boy's boy's boy's going to be nice.”
Kurt Tay picks Colby Thicknesse
“Colby Thicknesse versus Josias Musasa. Oh, Oh, Oh, we win. We win. You guess you guess boy's boy's boy's going to be nice.”
CC
Cage Capital picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“give me Colby Thicknesse for plus 205”
Cage Capital picks Colby Thicknesse VALUE
“give me Colby Thicknesse for plus 205”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Josias Musasa
“Uh, I'll just lay the minus 150. I know it's a little juicy, but uh, I like the Josias Musasa side.”
$1.67
Tony's Picks picks Josias Musasa
“Uh, I'll just lay the minus 150. I know it's a little juicy, but uh, I like the Josias Musasa side.”
$1.67
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Thicknesse8-1
W
Morales
May '26
W
Musasa
Sep '25
L
Topuria
Feb '25
Musasa8-2
L
Thicknesse
Sep '25
L
Vera
Mar '25