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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Peričić v Ellison Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus125 picks · conf 99/99
Peričić 91
34 Ellison
TLBSTS pick Peričić
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Peričić 6-1 VS 5-2 Ellison
6'5" height 6'0"
264 lb weight 236 lb
79" reach 78"
31 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 5.4
60% striking accuracy 49%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
52% striking defence 60%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
40% takedown accuracy 27%
80% takedown defence 63%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Frozen Fists picks Brando Peričić VALUE “have to go with my guy Brando Peričić”
TM Topside MMA picks Elisha Ellison “Elisha Ellison his chin has not held up well.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Elisha Ellison “Elisha Ellison could win.”
PI PickemMMA picks Brando Peričić VALUE “I'm changing my pick to Brando Peričić. I think Brando Peričić's going to win.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Elisha Ellison “I might go with Elisha Ellison to get the upset.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Brando Peričić VALUE “Then Brando Peričić another guy that I took in the beginning 0.55 units.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Brando Peričić “I have Brando Peričić 0.55 units.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Brando Peričić VALUE “I'm taking Brando Peričić.”
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Elisha Ellison VALUE “I'm gonna be going with Ellison in this one by either decision or KO.”
UF Ufc_picker picks Brando Peričić
FF Fite Feed picks Elisha Ellison “Only one to pick Elisha Ellison on this card.”
SC Street Champs picks Brando Peričić VALUE “I'm going with him minus 225” $1.44
Recent form last five, most recent first
Peričić6-1
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R2 May '26
W Sutherland KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Ellison KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
Ellison5-2
L Peričić KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25