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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Stirling v Bellato Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus142 picks · conf 99/99
Stirling 117
25 Bellato
BDIMLL pick Stirling
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Stirling 9-0 VS 13-3-1 Bellato
6'4" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 204 lb
79" reach 75"
28 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
45% striking accuracy 36%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
52% striking defence 50%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
28% takedown accuracy 30%
61% takedown defence 80%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM Topside MMA picks Rodolfo Bellato “Bolato is the much better grappler.”
PI PickemMMA picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm not really sure, but Rodolfo Bellato might win if he survives early.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Navajo Stirling “have to side with the weirdest [__] Navajo Stirling.”
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I'm going to be going with Rodolfo Bellato in this one by decision or KO.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Navajo Stirling “I'm going to go with Navajo Stirling to Rodolfo Bellato.”
EM EXPERTO DE MMA picks Navajo Stirling “Uh, I slightly favor Navajo Stirling.”
FA Fantomas Analysis picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “me, I'm definitely going after him in this matchup.”
CC Cage Capital picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I would lean Sterling.”
UM Us vs Them MMA picks Navajo Stirling “official prediction, I'm going to go Navajo Stirling by knockout.” $1.40
TP Tony's Picks picks Navajo Stirling “The side for me clearly in this one's Navajo Stirling. I'm not looking Rodolfo Bellato's way.” $2.25
RI RicoQuillyJr picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “I'm gonna go Navajo Navajo Stirling to win this fight.”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Navajo Stirling “I like the side of Navajo Stirling.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Stirling9-0
W Cuțelaba KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Bellato Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Erslan Decision · R3 May '25
W Tokkos Decision · R3 Dec '24
Bellato13-3-1
W Fernandez KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Stirling Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Potieria KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23