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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Spann v Brzeski Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus69 picks · conf 75/99
Spann 53
16 Brzeski
PMMJJV pick Spann
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Spann 23-11 VS 9-5-1 Brzeski
6'5" height 6'3"
252 lb weight 242 lb
79" reach 78"
34 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 4.9
40% striking accuracy 50%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
43% striking defence 54%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
35% takedown accuracy 50%
50% takedown defence 36%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MR Milo Reyes picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I got Brian Span I got winning this fight. Okay, 100%.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Łukasz Brzeski “I Łukasz Brzeski.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Ryan Spann “So, I'm going to go with Ryan Span in this one.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Ryan Spann “give me Ryan Spann.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Ryan Spann “Uh Ryan Spann should win the fight.”
WP We Want Picks picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I think Ryan Span's gonna get to him”
WP We Want Picks picks Łukasz Brzeski “I think Ryan Span's gonna get to him”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I'll pick Ryan Spann. Give me Ryan Spann money line.” $1.48
TP The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Ryan Spann VALUE “We did get some respected bets early at minus 230 on Ryan Spann.” $1.42
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Ryan Spann VALUE “the pick is Ryan Span”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ryan Spann “I'm going with Ryan Spann.” $1.43
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ryan Spann “I'm going to pick Ryan Spann Money Line.” $1.42
Recent form last five, most recent first
Spann23-11
W Buchecha KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
W Brzeski Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Preux Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Guskov KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Brzeski9-5-1
L Spann Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Nzechukwu KO/TKO · R1 Dec '24
L Parkin KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Walker Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23