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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Phillips v Oliveira Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus105 picks · conf 87/99
Phillips 33
72 Oliveira
RBISLS pick Phillips
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Phillips 12-4 VS 23-4 Oliveira
5'8" height 5'9"
135 lb weight 145 lb
72" reach 70"
31 age 30
Orthodox stance Switch
5.3 strikes landed / min 5.9
44% striking accuracy 43%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
60% striking defence 53%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
51% takedown accuracy 60%
75% takedown defence 68%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MR Milo Reyes picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “I'm going to say that... Probably the whole card... I have some respect for Phillips... It'll be close... but I got Alivera do a lot of winning.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Vinicius Oliveira “I really Islam Dulatov see Vinicius Oliveira just kind of coming in here and just putting it on Kyler Phillips.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Vinicius Oliveira “I got Venicious NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 still.”
MD mdminds picks Vinicius Oliveira VALUE “Dide by KO plus 900. Why not?” $10.00
MD mdminds picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “Nikolai Verinov. Yep, there it is. 122 money line plus 122.” $2.22
WP We Want Picks picks Vinicius Oliveira VALUE “I think Venicious could potentially find a finish”
WP We Want Picks picks Kyler Phillips “I think Venicious Alvivera is just the more well-rounded”
EB ESPN BET picks Vinicius Oliveira VALUE “I'm rolling with Lok Dog. I believe in the hype. I think it's real. He's going to be my play.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Kyler Phillips “Give me Vinicius Oliveira by late finish or decision.”
TL TRUPA LOCKS picks Vinicius Oliveira “Leg three is going to be Vinicius Oliveira money line at minus 150.” $1.67
RX RX picks Kyler Phillips “Give me the new kid on the block”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “I'm going to take the guy that's 22 and three. I mean, like, you look at that record, they're not really the who's who, but um, I'm going to take I'm going to take Vinicius Oliveira, man.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Phillips12-4
L Jourdain Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Font Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Barcelos Decision · R3 Aug '23
Oliveira23-4
W Fili KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Bautista Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Phillips Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Simón Decision · R3 Jun '24