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Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
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Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
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Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
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Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Prado v Veretennikov
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Prado 12-4
VS
14-7 Veretennikov
5'10"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
69"
reach
74"
24
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
5.6
41%
striking accuracy
60%
5.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
52%
striking defence
55%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
0%
takedown accuracy
41%
25%
takedown defence
65%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I got Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov... I came down to picking Francisco... I think he's going to cut the distance, beat him up in the clinch, close range, everything like that... I think Francisco's pressure will overwhelm Nicolay... That's why I think Francisco is going to win.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Francisco Prado
“So, I'm going to say Francisco Prado by decision.”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Francisco Prado
“I think he gets a decision win.”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I just think that uh Francisco overall is just is just the better better fighter. ... I just think he does have what it takes to to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_30.”
SA
SASMR picks Francisco Prado
“I'm leaning Brendan Allen just because he is kind of the more improving fighter”
PN
Picks Nation picks Francisco Prado
“Francisco Prado is going to be the pick.”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“we got Francisco Prado taking on Nikolay Veretennikov in a battle of two guys that need a win.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“we picked Praau to take the win”
VU
Valter Walker UFC picks Nikolay Veretennikov
“Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov. Nikolay Veretennikov, cara.”
HB
Half The Battle picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I'm going to go with Francisco Pra to come out here and beat uh Nikolay Veretennikov uh secure that roster spot.”
$1.69
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Prado12-4
L
Radtke
Apr '26
L
Veretennikov
Jul '25
L
Matthews
Feb '25
L
Zellhuber
Feb '24
W
Azaitar
Jul '23
Veretennikov14-7
L
Williams
May '26
W
Price
Feb '26
L
Soriano
Oct '25
W
Prado
Jul '25
L
Vanderford
Feb '25