MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Choose a fight to analyse
MH DP Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight MV BA Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF ID Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight JC MP Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CJ NC Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KP VO Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AG RV Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight DI PP Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight PC RK Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight MJ DZ Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight KH DR Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight FP NV Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight RS ŁB Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight BF JM Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Prado v Veretennikov Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus94 picks · conf 83/99
Prado 77
17 Veretennikov
BHMMLK pick Prado
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Prado 12-4 VS 14-7 Veretennikov
5'10" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 170 lb
69" reach 74"
24 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 5.6
41% striking accuracy 60%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
52% striking defence 55%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
0% takedown accuracy 41%
25% takedown defence 65%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MR Milo Reyes picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I got Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov... I came down to picking Francisco... I think he's going to cut the distance, beat him up in the clinch, close range, everything like that... I think Francisco's pressure will overwhelm Nicolay... That's why I think Francisco is going to win.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Francisco Prado “So, I'm going to say Francisco Prado by decision.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Francisco Prado “I think he gets a decision win.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I just think that uh Francisco overall is just is just the better better fighter. ... I just think he does have what it takes to to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_30.”
TP The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I'm tempted [for Francisco Prado].” $1.69
SA SASMR picks Francisco Prado “I'm leaning Brendan Allen just because he is kind of the more improving fighter”
PN Picks Nation picks Francisco Prado “Francisco Prado is going to be the pick.”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Francisco Prado VALUE “we got Francisco Prado taking on Nikolay Veretennikov in a battle of two guys that need a win.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Francisco Prado “I'm picking Pra.” $1.69
HN Hidden Source News picks Francisco Prado VALUE “we picked Praau to take the win”
VU Valter Walker UFC picks Nikolay Veretennikov “Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov. Nikolay Veretennikov, cara.”
HB Half The Battle picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I'm going to go with Francisco Pra to come out here and beat uh Nikolay Veretennikov uh secure that roster spot.” $1.69
Recent form last five, most recent first
Prado12-4
L Radtke Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Veretennikov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Matthews Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Zellhuber Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
Veretennikov14-7
L Williams KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Price KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Soriano Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Prado Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Vanderford KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25