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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
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MH DP Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight MV BA Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF ID Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight JC MP Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CJ NC Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KP VO Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AG RV Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight DI PP Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight PC RK Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight MJ DZ Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight KH DR Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight FP NV Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight RS ŁB Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight BF JM Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Vettori v Allen Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus115 picks · conf 93/99
Vettori 56
59 Allen
MRMF4B pick Vettori
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vettori 19-7-1 VS 26-7 Allen
6'0" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 186 lb
74" reach 75"
32 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 5.9
45% striking accuracy 36%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
56% striking defence 53%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
45% takedown accuracy 62%
69% takedown defence 53%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MR Milo Reyes picks Marvin Vettori VALUE “I got Marvin Vtori versus Brendan Allen... I'm honestly doing a good amount of uh opposite picks... Marvin Vettori has a lot more experience fighting better guys... He will take him down and maul him... Marvin is going to show that he is another level from Brendan.”
MR Milo Reyes picks Brendan Allen VALUE “Marvin Vettori has a lot more experience fighting better guys... He will take him down and maul him... Marvin is going to show that he is another level from Brendan.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Brendan Allen “So I'm going to go with Brendan Allen.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Brendan Allen “Give me Brendan Allen here.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Brendan Allen “I gotta go Brendan Allen all day long”
WP We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen “I'm going to pick Marvin Vettori”
WP We Want Picks picks Marvin Vettori VALUE “I'm going to pick Marvin Vettori”
RX RX picks Marvin Vettori “I think he's the better striker”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I'm going to take NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 ... I'mma go with Melvin here”
WP We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen “So my safish play it's going to be Brendan Allen on the minus 200 money line.” $1.50
TP The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Marvin Vettori VALUE “Sharp action early on Marvin Vettori.” $3.25
PN Picks Nation picks Marvin Vettori “I think Marvin Vettori can win this fight. [...] Marvin Vettori is the pick.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vettori19-7-1
L Ferreira Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Allen Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Dolidze Decision · R5 Mar '25
L Cannonier Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Dolidze Decision · R3 Mar '23
Allen26-7
W Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Ridder KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Vettori Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Imavov Decision · R3 Sep '24