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Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
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Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JC
MP
Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CJ
NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KP
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Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AG
RV
Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
DI
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Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
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Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
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Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
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Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
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Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Costa v Kopylov
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Costa 0-0
VS
14-5 Kopylov
6'1"
height
6'0"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
75"
35
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
6.2
strikes landed / min
4.3
58%
striking accuracy
54%
6.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
49%
striking defence
58%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
75%
takedown accuracy
53%
80%
takedown defence
87%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Paulo Costa in his prime... He's going to get mauled. He's going to get knocked out... He's going to lose... He's going to lose.”
Milo Reyes picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Paulo Costa in his prime... He's going to get mauled. He's going to get knocked out... He's going to lose... He's going to lose.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Paulo Costa
“I think it's it's going to be a decision, but I think Paulo Costa is going to win”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Paulo Costa
“I think it's it's going to be a decision, but I think Paulo Costa is going to win”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Roman Kopylov
“I think Roman Kopylov wins this fight and there's a chance he KO's Paulo Costa.”
JakeGerberMMA picks Roman Kopylov
“I think Roman Kopylov wins this fight and there's a chance he KO's Paulo Costa.”
MD
mdminds picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Roman NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 and I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 by points plus 120. Yeah. You like that one? Sure, why not?”
$2.86
mdminds picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Roman NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 and I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 by points plus 120. Yeah. You like that one? Sure, why not?”
$2.86
WP
We Want Picks picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Paloca is going to have a hard time with Roman Kopylov”
We Want Picks picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Paloca is going to have a hard time with Roman Kopylov”
WP
We Want Picks picks Paulo Costa
“I don't think Paulo wins”
We Want Picks picks Paulo Costa
“I don't think Paulo wins”
EB
ESPN BET picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Give me Roman Cop to win and over one and a half rounds. Costa still has good durability. We get that number down from -250 to the minus 130 -140.”
$1.40
ESPN BET picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Give me Roman Cop to win and over one and a half rounds. Costa still has good durability. We get that number down from -250 to the minus 130 -140.”
$1.40
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I feel the same way about Paulo Costa this weekend.”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I feel the same way about Paulo Costa this weekend.”
RX
RX picks Paulo Costa
“some big names on the card”
RX picks Paulo Costa
“some big names on the card”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“I'm going to pick Roman Kipolo at the submission round number two”
Capitán Rafucho picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“I'm going to pick Roman Kipolo at the submission round number two”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Roman Kopylov
“I got Roman on this one.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Roman Kopylov
“I got Roman on this one.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa0-0
W
Murzakanov
Apr '26
W
Kopylov
Jul '25
L
Strickland
Jun '24
L
Whittaker
Feb '24
W
Rockhold
Aug '22
Kopylov14-5
W
Tulio
May '26
L
Rodrigues
Nov '25
L
Costa
Jul '25
W
Curtis
Jan '25
W
Almeida
Jun '24