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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Meerschaert v Oleksiejczuk Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus79 picks · conf 78/99
Meerschaert 32
47 Oleksiejczuk
TTDVLT pick Meerschaert
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Meerschaert 37-21 VS 22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'1" height 6'0"
186 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 74"
38 age 31
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.1 strikes landed / min 5.1
45% striking accuracy 50%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
53% striking defence 58%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
35% takedown accuracy 43%
42% takedown defence 48%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm on um Michał Oleksiejczuk I guess.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I'm going with him. I'm going with Carlos Proies on this one.”
WP We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “If you think Michał Oleksiejczuk wins, which I do”
JL Jafari Laury picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “We're going to throw that $850 on Michał Oleksiejczuk and Michael Page Carlos Prates.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I'm willing to bet that he withstands the first round there from uh Michał Oleksiejczuk and uh Mersard doesn't get a sub or anything early on in this fight... I'm on the over one and a half at even money here between Michael O and Gerald Meerschaert.”
GM GC MMA picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I've got to trust all of Jook here. I think that he can probably put GM3's lights out.”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I guess I'm going to roll with you on Olen Shuk.”
IF Inside Fighting picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I feel like this is Mikall's fight to win.”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Gerald Meerschaert “give me Mik even landing a big uppercut”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “Bisoner Sussv is the special one... Sucks at KFW. I don't even want to talk about this fight anymore.” $1.08
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm just leaning towards Miho Alex winning this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Meerschaert37-21
L Malkoun Decision · R3 May '26
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Tavares Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ridder Submission · R3 Nov '24
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L Magomedov Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Barriault Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Meerschaert KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Dumas KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Aug '24