Dricus du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev · Fight IQ

UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev

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BEST PRICE Prophecy read du Plessis v Chimaev Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

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Consensus321 picks · conf 99/99

du Plessis 194

127 Chimaev

pick du Plessis

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

du Plessis 23-3 VS 15-0 Chimaev

6'1" height 6'2"

185 lb weight 183 lb

76" reach 75"

32 age 32

Switch stance Orthodox

4.9 strikes landed / min 5.4

53% striking accuracy 58%

3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.2

58% striking defence 41%

3.1 takedowns / 15 min 4.3

45% takedown accuracy 46%

50% takedown defence 100%

0.9 submissions / 15 min 2.8

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

Capitán Rafucho picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “give me Xiaame by submission at round number two”

Jonny Says Boxing picks Dricus du Plessis “I got Dricus du Plessis by in that division. watch Dricus du Plessis stops him”

Jonny Says Boxing picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “I have some action on that. I have ball on the money line. My locks, guys, my money line locks. I put them up in the Discord and I also put them up on our YouTube channel... I have Moses on the money line. I have Raymond Ford on the money line and I have Nick Paul on the money line.”

Keep it a Buck Media picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE

Capper Comparison Picks picks Khamzat Chimaev “I'm predicting Khamzat Chimaev with some sort of a early submission.”

The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “I'm going with Hamzach in any of the first three rounds. That's even money at FanDuel.” $2.63

The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “I think Dricus du Plessis is a phenomenal champion and if this fight does extend, I think he will have opportunities to either close the show or win minutes down the stretch.”

Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “I think Dricus du Plessis is going to surprise everyone man. Uh he's a tough guy that keeps coming. You know what I mean? He's awkward. He doesn't give up and he's got a gas tank where like Kazmat hasn't really fought any like big ass 85 like he fought NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 which is my like opinion he's like the last of the onedimensional guys.”

Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Khamzat Chimaev “Khamzat Chimaev. >> He goes a minus 170. I don't know about that.”