Choose a fight to analyse
IM
AV
Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
KC
KU
Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
MA
JW
Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IA
WA
Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
SN
MG
Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
MM
TE
Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TP
MY
Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
VH
Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
SD
AA
Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
AJ
Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MN
NW
Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
JF
Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
SM
BS
Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AV
Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
KC
KU
Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
MA
JW
Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IA
WA
Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
SN
MG
Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
MM
TE
Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TP
MY
Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
VH
Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
SD
AA
Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
AJ
Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MN
NW
Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
JF
Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
SM
BS
Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mokaev v Elliott
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mokaev 13-0
VS
22-13-1 Elliott
5'7"
height
5'7"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
70"
reach
66"
25
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
1.6
strikes landed / min
3.4
45%
striking accuracy
44%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
57%
striking defence
56%
5.3
takedowns / 15 min
3.7
41%
takedown accuracy
47%
25%
takedown defence
59%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Muhammad Mokaev
“reluctantly pick Muhammad Mokaev to win here but take Muhammad Mokaev”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Muhammad Mokaev
“reluctantly pick Muhammad Mokaev to win here but take Muhammad Mokaev”
SD
Skyler Dagley picks Tim Elliott
“I'll lean towards Tim Elliott Elliottt”
Skyler Dagley picks Tim Elliott
“I'll lean towards Tim Elliott Elliottt”
MB
Michael Bisping picks Muhammad Mokaev
“I favor Muhammad Mokaev I would put my money on Muhammad on that one”
Michael Bisping picks Muhammad Mokaev
“I favor Muhammad Mokaev I would put my money on Muhammad on that one”
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Tim Elliott
“Mohamad m is going to get the win by submission probably in the first round is a I don't think somebody even even has a chance right now in the top except maybe the top five I would say to stop him he's undefeated he has seven wins by finishes yeah and free [Music] decisions so I don't think somebody has something against him right now he only had one decision win in the UFC so far the three of those are submission”
TheGreyFaction picks Tim Elliott
“Mohamad m is going to get the win by submission probably in the first round is a I don't think somebody even even has a chance right now in the top except maybe the top five I would say to stop him he's undefeated he has seven wins by finishes yeah and free [Music] decisions so I don't think somebody has something against him right now he only had one decision win in the UFC so far the three of those are submission”
TF
TNT Sports Football picks Muhammad Mokaev
“if he can get a win maybe I think we're one win away from a title shot I really do”
TNT Sports Football picks Muhammad Mokaev
“if he can get a win maybe I think we're one win away from a title shot I really do”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Muhammad Mokaev
“give me Muhammad Mokaev and Muhammad Mokaev by decision”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Muhammad Mokaev
“give me Muhammad Mokaev and Muhammad Mokaev by decision”
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE
“yeah Muhammad makv definitely going to be my pick here”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE
“yeah Muhammad makv definitely going to be my pick here”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Tim Elliott
“I've got bashat as well but this is also a fight that I could see him losing”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Tim Elliott
“I've got bashat as well but this is also a fight that I could see him losing”
DR
DraftKings picks Tim Elliott VALUE
“give me the Mississippi mudslide Kentucky waterfall haircut on Timmy Elliott uh huge number I like him by decision”
$4.70
DraftKings picks Tim Elliott VALUE
“give me the Mississippi mudslide Kentucky waterfall haircut on Timmy Elliott uh huge number I like him by decision”
$4.70
SB
SouthernTea Boxing-MMA & Sports Betting picks Tim Elliott
“I'm not taking Victor hry in this fight”
SouthernTea Boxing-MMA & Sports Betting picks Tim Elliott
“I'm not taking Victor hry in this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mokaev13-0
W
Kape
Jul '24
W
Perez
Mar '24
W
Elliott
Oct '23
W
Filho
Mar '23
W
Gordon
Oct '22
Elliott22-13-1
L
Erceg
May '26
W
Asakura
Aug '25
W
Mudaerji
Dec '23
L
Mokaev
Oct '23
W
Altamirano
Jun '23