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UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
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IM AV Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight KC KU Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight MA JW Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight IA WA Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight SN MG Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight MM TE Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight TP MY Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight JB VH Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight SD AA Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight MB AJ Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight MN NW Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight VD JF Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight SM BS Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Makhachev v Volkanovski Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus112 picks · conf 91/99
Makhachev 74
38 Volkanovski
DHTPAT pick Makhachev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Makhachev 27-1 VS 27-4 Volkanovski
5'10" height 5'6"
170 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 72"
34 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 6.0
49% striking accuracy 51%
1.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
66% striking defence 57%
3.9 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
49% takedown accuracy 48%
90% takedown defence 70%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski “when I picked Alexander Volkanovski I did so with hope”
WC WCS picks Islam Makhachev VALUE “I'm gonna put it out there that I have to stick with um islong mahak CHF this is why I'm sticking with him for this rematch to retain his title”
DS Dynes Sports picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
TH TheMMASpokesman picks Alexander Volkanovski “Main card win by knockout it's going to be Alexander Volkanovski”
9F 99.9 The Fan picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “give me Alexander Volkanovski for this Main Event”
DS Dribbl Sport picks Islam Makhachev VALUE “I lean Islam Makhachev very heavily in this one”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Islam Makhachev VALUE “I'Islam Makhachev rocking with Islam Makhachevy boy IslaIslam Makhachev Makhachev” $1.38
MB Michael Bisping picks Islam Makhachev “I'm gonna go with Isam mahv I really am”
SJ Shaun Jones picks Islam Makhachev “I think the logical decision Islam Makhachev by decision that's what I'm going to take”
TP TCMMA Podcast picks Islam Makhachev “but I can't go against Islam Makhachev mahaj ... Islam Makhachev mahat is still the better fighter at the lightweight level at 155 pounds so I'd like him to win another decision”
TU The Underground picks Alexander Volkanovski “for this fight I'm going to pick Alexander Volkanovski I'm just going to do it man I think the guy has a really good shot at winning the last fight and I think going into this one he's got he knows he's got nothing to lose I think he's going to go For Broke I think it's going to be an even better fight than the first I just think Alexander Volkanovski is going to have a better fight he's going to take it to Islam”
AC Abowl c00lin picks Islam Makhachev “I think I'll give it to Islam Makhachev winning this”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Makhachev27-1
W Maddalena Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Moicano Submission · R1 Jan '25
W Poirier Submission · R5 Jun '24
W Volkanovski KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Volkanovski Decision · R5 Feb '23
Volkanovski27-4
W Lopes Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Lopes Decision · R5 Apr '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Makhachev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Rodríguez KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23