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Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
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Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
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Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
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Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
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Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nurmagomedov v Gafurov
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 18-5
VS
20-6 Gafurov
5'8"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
70"
reach
68"
34
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
3.0
47%
striking accuracy
47%
2.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
57%
striking defence
50%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
16%
takedown accuracy
27%
66%
takedown defence
68%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TH
TheMMASpokesman picks Said Nurmagomedov
“take Said Nurmagomedov by the ground”
TheMMASpokesman picks Said Nurmagomedov
“take Said Nurmagomedov by the ground”
TU
The Underground picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm a rock with Said Nurmagomedov I think the guy is very polished he's a very very good upand Comer Muin Gafurov coming off of a decision loss so I'm going with s n Med off for this one”
The Underground picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm a rock with Said Nurmagomedov I think the guy is very polished he's a very very good upand Comer Muin Gafurov coming off of a decision loss so I'm going with s n Med off for this one”
TB
The Barnhill Brothers picks Muin Gafurov
“I'm going with the man who has 14 of his 15 wins coming by first round finish Muin Gafurov”
The Barnhill Brothers picks Muin Gafurov
“I'm going with the man who has 14 of his 15 wins coming by first round finish Muin Gafurov”
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm going to go with mov getting the win and maybe it's not going to be the case since he lost hisu but I believe he's going to do better this time against they very tough and prepared opponent I see this fight uh ending with a decision win from wing”
TheGreyFaction picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm going to go with mov getting the win and maybe it's not going to be the case since he lost hisu but I believe he's going to do better this time against they very tough and prepared opponent I see this fight uh ending with a decision win from wing”
SK
Stoop Knockout picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“we got Said Nurmagomedov the cousin of khabib taking on Muhammad Mokaevuin Gafurov like Mohammad Yahyaeah theMohammad Yahya all ended OV”
Stoop Knockout picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“we got Said Nurmagomedov the cousin of khabib taking on Muhammad Mokaevuin Gafurov like Mohammad Yahyaeah theMohammad Yahya all ended OV”
FP
Fight Night Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov
“both of us in this one going with s and Said Nurmagomedov to get the win”
Fight Night Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov
“both of us in this one going with s and Said Nurmagomedov to get the win”
TS
TWSN Sports picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Said Nurmagomedovharabutdin Magomedov wins this fight”
$1.31
TWSN Sports picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Said Nurmagomedovharabutdin Magomedov wins this fight”
$1.31
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Muin Gafurov
“outwork Said Nurmagomedov”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Muin Gafurov
“outwork Said Nurmagomedov”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I've got s your magedov”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I've got s your magedov”
MI
MiguelOdon picks Said Nurmagomedov
“anyway Said Nurmagomedov that's my pick for this fight”
MiguelOdon picks Said Nurmagomedov
“anyway Said Nurmagomedov that's my pick for this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov18-5
L
Mitchell
Jul '25
L
Oliveira
Feb '25
W
Gafurov
Oct '23
L
Martinez
Mar '23
W
Kakhramonov
Dec '22
Gafurov20-6
L
Wikłacz
Feb '26
W
Nakamura
Jan '25
W
Kyung-ho
Jun '24
L
Nurmagomedov
Oct '23
L
Castañeda
Jun '23