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UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
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IM AV Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight KC KU Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight MA JW Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight IA WA Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight SN MG Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight MM TE Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight TP MY Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight JB VH Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight SD AA Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight MB AJ Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight MN NW Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight VD JF Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight SM BS Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Chimaev v Usman Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus72 picks · conf 76/99
Chimaev 50
22 Usman
DHTFB9 pick Chimaev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Chimaev 15-0 VS 20-4 Usman
6'2" height 6'0"
183 lb weight 171 lb
75" reach 76"
32 age 39
Orthodox stance Switch
5.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
58% striking accuracy 52%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
41% striking defence 54%
4.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
46% takedown accuracy 45%
100% takedown defence 89%
2.8 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev “I picked chamay to steam Kamaru Usman and he did so”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Khamzat Chimaev “I'm gonna pick Khamzat Chimaev just again because I gonna say Khamzat Chimaev the winner here all right Chay I am also running with uh Khamzat Chimaev ... I gotta go with Khamzat Chimaev in this one”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Khamzat Chimaev “Khamzat Chimaev is picking Khamzat Chimaev the me first yes I'Muhammad Naimov picking Khamzat Chimaev knockout those could barely say his name Khamzat Chimaev Chay Khamzat Chimaev is gonna win this fight I who you picking then Khamzat Chimaev night Khamzat Chimaev ... you're going with Khamzat Chimaev”
9F 99.9 The Fan picks Khamzat Chimaev “I think it's going to be Khamzat Chimaev”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kamaru Usman “I don't like what I've seen from Kamaru Usman lately he was my bet against Leon Edwards both times but man his knees are not looking good”
MB Michael Bisping picks Khamzat Chimaev “I expect and predict that Khamzat Chimaev will win that fight”
SJ Shaun Jones picks Khamzat Chimaev “I think Khamzat Chimaev is going to get this fight”
TP TCMMA Podcast picks Khamzat Chimaev “Hamza will still win this fight with Precision uh to move to 13 and0 on significant strikes will end up finishing Kamaru Usman sometime in the second or third round”
TU The Underground picks Khamzat Chimaev “I got to go with Khamzat Chimaev”
TB The Barnhill Brothers picks Khamzat Chimaev “I believe he will finish the future Hall of Famer”
TA THE FIGHT with Teddy Atlas picks Kamaru Usman VALUE “and fog ganowski is going to take it as his Kamaru Usman on 10 days notice”
PN Picks Nation picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “Islam Makhachev think Khamzat Chimaev is going to win the fight” $1.91
Recent form last five, most recent first
Chimaev15-0
L Strickland Decision · R5 May '26
W Plessis Decision · R5 Aug '25
W Whittaker Submission · R1 Oct '24
W Usman Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Holland Submission · R1 Sep '22
Usman20-4
W Buckley Decision · R5 Jun '25
L Chimaev Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Edwards Decision · R5 Mar '23
L Edwards KO/TKO · R5 Aug '22
W Covington Decision · R5 Nov '21