Choose a fight to analyse
IM
AV
Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
KC
KU
Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
MA
JW
Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IA
WA
Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
SN
MG
Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
MM
TE
Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TP
MY
Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
VH
Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
SD
AA
Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
AJ
Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MN
NW
Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
JF
Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
SM
BS
Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AV
Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
KC
KU
Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
MA
JW
Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IA
WA
Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
SN
MG
Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
MM
TE
Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TP
MY
Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
VH
Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
SD
AA
Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
AJ
Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MN
NW
Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
JF
Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
SM
Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Chimaev v Usman
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Chimaev 15-0
VS
20-4 Usman
6'2"
height
6'0"
183 lb
weight
171 lb
75"
reach
76"
32
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
58%
striking accuracy
52%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
41%
striking defence
54%
4.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.8
46%
takedown accuracy
45%
100%
takedown defence
89%
2.8
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I picked chamay to steam Kamaru Usman and he did so”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I'm gonna pick Khamzat Chimaev just again because I gonna say Khamzat Chimaev the winner here all right Chay I am also running with uh Khamzat Chimaev ... I gotta go with Khamzat Chimaev in this one”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Khamzat Chimaev
“Khamzat Chimaev is picking Khamzat Chimaev the me first yes I'Muhammad Naimov picking Khamzat Chimaev knockout those could barely say his name Khamzat Chimaev Chay Khamzat Chimaev is gonna win this fight I who you picking then Khamzat Chimaev night Khamzat Chimaev ... you're going with Khamzat Chimaev”
9F
99.9 The Fan picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I think it's going to be Khamzat Chimaev”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kamaru Usman
“I don't like what I've seen from Kamaru Usman lately he was my bet against Leon Edwards both times but man his knees are not looking good”
MB
Michael Bisping picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I expect and predict that Khamzat Chimaev will win that fight”
SJ
Shaun Jones picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I think Khamzat Chimaev is going to get this fight”
TP
TCMMA Podcast picks Khamzat Chimaev
“Hamza will still win this fight with Precision uh to move to 13 and0 on significant strikes will end up finishing Kamaru Usman sometime in the second or third round”
TU
The Underground picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I got to go with Khamzat Chimaev”
TB
The Barnhill Brothers picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I believe he will finish the future Hall of Famer”
TA
THE FIGHT with Teddy Atlas picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“and fog ganowski is going to take it as his Kamaru Usman on 10 days notice”
PN
Picks Nation picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“Islam Makhachev think Khamzat Chimaev is going to win the fight”
$1.91
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Chimaev15-0
L
Strickland
May '26
W
Plessis
Aug '25
W
Whittaker
Oct '24
W
Usman
Oct '23
W
Holland
Sep '22
Usman20-4
W
Buckley
Jun '25
L
Chimaev
Oct '23
L
Edwards
Mar '23
L
Edwards
Aug '22
W
Covington
Nov '21