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Aspinall vs PavlovichMain Card · Heavyweight
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Andrade vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
BD
MF
Denis vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
DL
PS
Lopes vs SabatiniMain Card · Featherweight
SE
AC
Erceg vs CostaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LG
TR
Godinez vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
RR
Rębecki vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Sadykhov vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Gordon vs MadsenEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Castañeda vs Kyung-hoEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Van vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Emmers vs BuzukjaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Castañeda v Kyung-ho
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Castañeda 21-7
VS
19-11 Kyung-ho
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
34
age
38
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
3.1
50%
striking accuracy
47%
5.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
54%
striking defence
54%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
35%
takedown accuracy
50%
71%
takedown defence
68%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks John Castañeda
“I like John Castañeda here for the win”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks John Castañeda
“I like John Castañeda here for the win”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kang Kyung-ho VALUE
“I want to pure dog pick uh for Kang Kyung-ho”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kang Kyung-ho VALUE
“I want to pure dog pick uh for Kang Kyung-ho”
TP
The City Life Project picks John Castañeda VALUE
“obviously I'm rooting for the Minnesota in there... and I just think you know bias aside he's better than ho Kang in this one um I think he has the better chin heart toughness good wrestler decent boxing actually way better boxing than that of H Kang fun fighter let's freaking go at minus 135”
$1.74
The City Life Project picks John Castañeda VALUE
“obviously I'm rooting for the Minnesota in there... and I just think you know bias aside he's better than ho Kang in this one um I think he has the better chin heart toughness good wrestler decent boxing actually way better boxing than that of H Kang fun fighter let's freaking go at minus 135”
$1.74
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks John Castañeda
“John Castañeda Castañeda look better at the ve so guess I'm doing a little switch”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks John Castañeda
“John Castañeda Castañeda look better at the ve so guess I'm doing a little switch”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Kang Kyung-ho
“well I have to go for the cated favorite again I like his fighting style I just think he's going to win it has a better record as well um yeah castan the favorite”
The Fight Week Show picks Kang Kyung-ho
“well I have to go for the cated favorite again I like his fighting style I just think he's going to win it has a better record as well um yeah castan the favorite”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I'm going with hang”
The Fight Week Show picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I'm going with hang”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I went with Kung hang”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I went with Kung hang”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I do like Castano in this fight... I'm taking John Castanada at minus 137”
$1.73
Leftlane MMA picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I do like Castano in this fight... I'm taking John Castanada at minus 137”
$1.73
LO
Luke O'Libre picks John Castañeda
“so we got him”
Luke O'Libre picks John Castañeda
“so we got him”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Kang Kyung-ho VALUE
“John Castañeda minus 145 plus 120 for yungo Kong i' probably go for Kong in that one”
$2.20
Sherdog.com picks Kang Kyung-ho VALUE
“John Castañeda minus 145 plus 120 for yungo Kong i' probably go for Kong in that one”
$2.20
WP
We Want Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I do think John cassan absolutely gets this done”
We Want Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I do think John cassan absolutely gets this done”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Kang Kyung-ho VALUE
“let's go with some value here in Kang Kyung-ho at 7.4k”
$2.12
Mayo Media Network picks Kang Kyung-ho VALUE
“let's go with some value here in Kang Kyung-ho at 7.4k”
$2.12
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Castañeda21-7
L
Gutiérrez
Apr '25
L
Marcos
Jun '24
W
Kyung-ho
Nov '23
W
Gafurov
Jun '23
L
Santos
Oct '22
Kyung-ho19-11
L
Gafurov
Jun '24
L
Castañeda
Nov '23
W
Quiñonez
Jun '23
W
Batgerel
Jun '22
L
Yahya
Nov '21