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UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pereira v Procházka Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus77 picks · conf 78/99
Pereira 44
33 Procházka
HTTUBK pick Pereira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3 VS 32-5-1 Procházka
6'4" height 6'3"
251 lb weight 206 lb
79" reach 80"
38 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 4.8
54% striking accuracy 48%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
61% striking defence 57%
0.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
0% takedown accuracy 65%
92% takedown defence 68%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OM One On One | MMA picks Alex Pereira VALUE “I think Alex Pereira gets it done”
TP The City Life Project picks Alex Pereira VALUE “I'm going with sadikov” $1.74
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Jiří Procházka “I've got Jiří Procházka Procházka to win”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Jiří Procházka “I'm def y Yi man”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Alex Pereira “I'm going to go with Alex Pereira Pera here” $1.45
LM Leftlane MMA picks Alex Pereira VALUE “I like Alex per to win here... I've got Alex Pereira money line at minus 123” $1.82
LM Leftlane MMA picks Jiří Procházka VALUE “I think Bernard gets it done... I've got a Benoît Saint Mackenzie Dernenis money line at minus 233” $1.43
TB Totally Blitzed picks Alex Pereira “we're both rocker Alex Pereira for the main event”
MM Mmajessic picks Alex Pereira “I do think that Alex Pereiraereira is going to walk away with the win”
LO Luke O'Libre picks Jiří Procházka “I'm taking Alex”
SH Sherdog.com picks Alex Pereira “I'll go for him but not with any great certainty” $1.83
AT ATM Talks picks Jiří Procházka “my picks Y praska for the light heavyweight champion”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L Gane KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Ankalaev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Ankalaev Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R4 Oct '24
W Procházka KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
Procházka32-5-1
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
W Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Hill KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
W Rakić KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24