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UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lopes v Sabatini Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Lopes 22
17 Sabatini
DFFWLC pick Lopes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lopes 27-8 VS 21-5 Sabatini
5'11" height 5'8"
146 lb weight 146 lb
72" reach 70"
31 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 1.9
58% striking accuracy 59%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 1.5
56% striking defence 48%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 4.0
39% takedown accuracy 44%
52% takedown defence 50%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 2.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Pat Sabatini “give me Pat Sabatini here”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Diego Lopes “I think that his by Diego Lopes then that is the path to Mount and Diego Lopes gives up his back and going to be picking Diego Lopes to win”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Diego Lopes “I'm going for Diego Diego Lopes”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I went satini over Mackenzie Derniego Lopes”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE “I do see lupy ginz getting it done I do see her getting it done by decision” $1.59
LO Luke O'Libre picks Diego Lopes “I'm taking Diego Lopes”
OB OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I like Pat Sabatini here at like almost even money minus 115” $1.87
WP We Want Picks picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I will probably have Pat sabatini in my lineup”
WP We Want Picks picks Diego Lopes VALUE “Diego Lopes can definitely beat Pat”
RP Rollin Wit Da Punches picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I'm leaning Pat Sabatini”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Pat Sabatini “I'm picking satini is my pick” $1.86
HY Hypecheck picks Pat Sabatini “for my money I'll be backing the better fighter and that's sabatini” $1.78
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lopes27-8
W Garcia KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Volkanovski Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
L Volkanovski Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Ortega Decision · R3 Sep '24
Sabatini21-5
W Gomis Decision · R3 May '26
W Mariscal Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Brito Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Pearce Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Lopes KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23