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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Aldana v Rosa Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus42 picks · conf 63/99
Aldana 28
14 Rosa
BJhFML pick Aldana
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Aldana 15-8 VS 19-7 Rosa
5'9" height 5'5"
136 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 67"
38 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 6.5
39% striking accuracy 56%
6.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
56% striking defence 49%
0.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
50% takedown accuracy 46%
77% takedown defence 68%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I'm picking Irene Aldana... taking Irene Aldana -189” $1.53
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I'm going to go with aren Alana”
WP We Want Picks picks Irene Aldana “I do think Irene Aldon wins this fight”
DS Dynes Sports picks Irene Aldana “I do think Irene Aldana is gonna be the pick for me as the uh as the favorite”
LO Luke O'Libre picks Irene Aldana “I think gets it done here”
FP Front Row Access Podcast picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I'm still going to take Dustin Kobe for that one”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Karol Rosa “my pick is g to be car Rosa”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Karol Rosa VALUE “give me HOSA to pull off the upset by decision”
CP Couch Warrior Podcast picks Karol Rosa VALUE “I originally felt like Karol Rosa had value at the price I originally played plus 186 but I hedged out and I'll tell you guys why I felt that she would be able to win because of her wrestling and her grappling and she's very explosive with the takedowns and she can hang on the feet she's got good output” $2.86
U6 UFC in 60 picks Irene Aldana VALUE “give me give me gaziev uh especially as kind of a dog in a bit of a coin flip lowl heavyweight fight”
U6 UFC in 60 picks Karol Rosa “every time Karol Rosa fights someone decent she loses”
FU FunkMasterMMA picks Irene Aldana VALUE “Irene Aldana Irene Aldana Aldana versus KY Karol Rosa that's an interesting one aren alonna I think she looked really good when she who did she fight um she fought someone she looked really good but she lost to Amanda nunz and it didn't look good Macy chison okay but yeah when she fought Amanda she just didn't open up it was like a weird I don't even know what that was that was just strange um but see if she could get back on track with this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Aldana15-8
L Dumont Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Rosa Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Nunes Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Chiasson KO/TKO · R3 Sep '22
W Kunitskaya KO/TKO · R1 Jul '21
Rosa19-7
L Santos Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Cornolle Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Pérez Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Kianzad Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Aldana Decision · R3 Dec '23