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Edwards vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight
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Rakhmonov vs ThompsonMain Card · Welterweight
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Edwards vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight
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Rakhmonov vs ThompsonMain Card · Welterweight
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Pimblett vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
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Emmett vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight
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Menifield vs JacobyPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rakhmonov v Thompson
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rakhmonov 18-0
VS
17-8-1 Thompson
6'1"
height
6'0"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
77"
reach
75"
31
age
43
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
4.1
61%
striking accuracy
46%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
51%
striking defence
55%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
29%
takedown accuracy
41%
100%
takedown defence
63%
1.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Stephen Thompson VALUE
“I think Stephen Thompson is like my Tony Ferguson you know what I mean so yeah no one deserves it more I don't think sorry but even if he's out there in a van handing out candy and karate lessons I'm still going with Stephen Thompson”
The Rambling Dad picks Stephen Thompson VALUE
“I think Stephen Thompson is like my Tony Ferguson you know what I mean so yeah no one deserves it more I don't think sorry but even if he's out there in a van handing out candy and karate lessons I'm still going with Stephen Thompson”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“I think Shavkat Rakhmonov is like my Tony Ferguson you know what I mean so yeah no one deserves it more I don't think sorry but even if he's out there in a van handing out candy and karate lessons I'm still going with Shavkat Rakhmonov”
The Rambling Dad picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“I think Shavkat Rakhmonov is like my Tony Ferguson you know what I mean so yeah no one deserves it more I don't think sorry but even if he's out there in a van handing out candy and karate lessons I'm still going with Shavkat Rakhmonov”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“Shavkat Rakhmonov ma massive favorite on the line I do think he's going to get this one done... I've got shovot minus 660 money line”
$1.15
Leftlane MMA picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“Shavkat Rakhmonov ma massive favorite on the line I do think he's going to get this one done... I've got shovot minus 660 money line”
$1.15
CZ
Comedian Black Zeus picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“I'm just going shop cut”
Comedian Black Zeus picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“I'm just going shop cut”
EB
ESPN BET picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“I think he's going to do just that but if you pay attention the way shot fights he is patient”
ESPN BET picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“I think he's going to do just that but if you pay attention the way shot fights he is patient”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“Shavkat Rakhmonov should dominate this fight minus 650”
$1.15
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“Shavkat Rakhmonov should dominate this fight minus 650”
$1.15
TF
TNT Sports Football picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“shavkat has got something very special coming on he's got a lot of pressure on his shoulders you know he is 17 and0 with 17 finishes”
TNT Sports Football picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“shavkat has got something very special coming on he's got a lot of pressure on his shoulders you know he is 17 and0 with 17 finishes”
OB
OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“we're getting Shavkat Rakhmonov Shavkat Rakhmonov by KO plus 290”
$3.90
OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“we're getting Shavkat Rakhmonov Shavkat Rakhmonov by KO plus 290”
$3.90
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“I'm going to predict Shavkat Rakhmonov to get the win by a TKO”
TheGreyFaction picks Shavkat Rakhmonov
“I'm going to predict Shavkat Rakhmonov to get the win by a TKO”
TS
THE GUNNER SHOW picks Stephen Thompson
“Shavkat Rakhmonov versus Stephen Thompson Shavkat Rakhmonov I don't really have to go into it I like Stephen Thompson but I don't have to go into it”
THE GUNNER SHOW picks Stephen Thompson
“Shavkat Rakhmonov versus Stephen Thompson Shavkat Rakhmonov I don't really have to go into it I like Stephen Thompson but I don't have to go into it”
PN
Picks Nation picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“I got to go with shaf cat here”
Picks Nation picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE
“I got to go with shaf cat here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rakhmonov18-0
W
Garry
Dec '24
W
Thompson
Dec '23
W
Neal
Mar '23
W
Magny
Jun '22
W
Harris
Feb '22
Thompson17-8-1
L
Bonfim
Jul '25
L
Buckley
Oct '24
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '23
W
Holland
Dec '22
L
Muhammad
Dec '21