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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ziam v Puelles Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus29 picks · conf 53/99
Ziam 23
6 Puelles
H“MBTH pick Ziam
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ziam 18-4 VS 13-5 Puelles
6'1" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 72"
29 age 30
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.8 strikes landed / min 3.2
43% striking accuracy 57%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
61% striking defence 53%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
37% takedown accuracy 38%
66% takedown defence 89%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Farès Ziam “Fram wins this fight”
TP The City Life Project picks Farès Ziam VALUE “I'm going with uh Farès Ziamam on this one”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Farès Ziam “I'm picking Farès Ziam to get the win over Claudio Puelles”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Claudio Puelles “but I'm going with um Claudio Puelles”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Claudio Puelles “I think F yam should be able to win this fight” $1.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Claudio Puelles VALUE “Claudio Puelles 7,500 kind of like the the Brian Brian Ortega fight if you gets this fight down to the mat there's a good chance he submits Farès Ziam who has three submission loses losses in his career the problem with Poes is not the best wrestling but he has ways to get it down to the mat so yeah I think Poes if he does win it's a submission at some point in this fight”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Farès Ziam “I think that we've seen enough improvements from Zam throughout his career that he should be able to keep this fight upright and utilize his kickboxing advantage to outbox out kick and eventually win this fight on the scorecards over poas”
VI VinceMMA picks Farès Ziam “goes to Farès Ziam by a um man I I'm I'm going to go Farès Ziam ... Farès Ziam by decision I think it's going to be Farès Ziam”
TO The Golden Octagon picks Farès Ziam “I'm going fairis Farès Ziam here”
PR Premium-Picks picks Farès Ziam “I'm gonna say FZ wins this fight probably by decision because I think he's extremely boring”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Farès Ziam VALUE “I'm leaning towards zeom and I think he's going to make this one look pretty easily I I think pis is actually the one that could get tired or kind of quit and look for the way out it seems like he checks out when he can't really get his finish”
HC Hilltown Clips picks Farès Ziam “I think I'm going to go with uh farz zum from France on this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ziam18-4
L Nolan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Sadykhov KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Davis Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Frevola KO/TKO · R3 Sep '24
W Puelles Decision · R3 Feb '24
Puelles13-5
L Silva Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ziam Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Hooker KO/TKO · R2 Nov '22
W Guida Submission · R1 Apr '22
W Gruetzemacher Submission · R3 Dec '21