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Ortega vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight
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Ziam vs PuellesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Santos vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Naimov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Royval vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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YR
Ortega vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight
DZ
FP
Zellhuber vs PradoMain Card · Lightweight
YJ
SH
Jauregui vs HughesMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MT
CD
Torres vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight
RB
CQ
Barcelos vs QuiñonezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JA
MM
Aguilar vs MendonçaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
EC
DL
Chairez vs LacerdaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
FZ
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Ziam vs PuellesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Rodríguez vs BondarPreliminary Card · Flyweight
FS
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Santos vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Naimov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ortega v Rodríguez
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ortega 16-5
VS
16-5 Rodríguez
5'8"
height
—
153 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
35
age
33
Switch
stance
Orthodox
5.7
strikes landed / min
4.7
40%
striking accuracy
46%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
49%
striking defence
52%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
44%
takedown accuracy
27%
58%
takedown defence
58%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BR
Broom picks Yair Rodríguez
“I got Yair Rodríguez winning a pretty easy 3027”
Broom picks Yair Rodríguez
“I got Yair Rodríguez winning a pretty easy 3027”
LS
Lil Stray picks Yair Rodríguez
“taking Yair Rodríguez taking Yair Rodríguez Yair Rodríguez I think it goes pretty far though”
Lil Stray picks Yair Rodríguez
“taking Yair Rodríguez taking Yair Rodríguez Yair Rodríguez I think it goes pretty far though”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Yair Rodríguez
“I really feel more confident the Y Rodriguez side”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Yair Rodríguez
“I really feel more confident the Y Rodriguez side”
MP
Michael Bisping Podcast picks Yair Rodríguez
“my pick my choice for that ... I think Yair Rodríguez I think on paper when iess the skills I think Brian Ortega but for some reason I think with it been Mexico City and the kind of nastiness that Yair Rodríguez has that kind of flips me and I find it hard to pick against him”
Michael Bisping Podcast picks Yair Rodríguez
“my pick my choice for that ... I think Yair Rodríguez I think on paper when iess the skills I think Brian Ortega but for some reason I think with it been Mexico City and the kind of nastiness that Yair Rodríguez has that kind of flips me and I find it hard to pick against him”
KU
Kunath picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“yay Rodriguez with five rounds to work is somebody who I really like for your tournaments this week”
Kunath picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“yay Rodriguez with five rounds to work is somebody who I really like for your tournaments this week”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brian Ortega
“I picked Brian Ortega”
We Want Picks picks Brian Ortega
“I picked Brian Ortega”
TP
The City Life Project picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“Lu Rodriguez that is my pick”
The City Life Project picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“Lu Rodriguez that is my pick”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Yair Rodríguez
“but I think Bond wins”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Yair Rodríguez
“but I think Bond wins”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“I like Ortega in this spot Point Blank period”
$2.30
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“I like Ortega in this spot Point Blank period”
$2.30
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“yaa Rodriguez he is going to be my preferred play in this Coman event um just because we haven't seen Brian Brian Ortega in a while and on top of that Brian Brian Ortega Next Level Grappler but just never really has had the best wrestling and if Brian Ortega is not able to get the fight down to the mat I just think it's going to be one-way traffic on the feed I love Yair Rodríguez striking I think he can really beat up Brian Ortega and potentially get that stoppage as well”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“yaa Rodriguez he is going to be my preferred play in this Coman event um just because we haven't seen Brian Brian Ortega in a while and on top of that Brian Brian Ortega Next Level Grappler but just never really has had the best wrestling and if Brian Ortega is not able to get the fight down to the mat I just think it's going to be one-way traffic on the feed I love Yair Rodríguez striking I think he can really beat up Brian Ortega and potentially get that stoppage as well”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Yair Rodríguez
“I think that he is the better fighter of the two here and as long as Rodriguez is unable to get that early finish here I think we'll see bere put him through the ringer and grind him on route to a decision Victory”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Yair Rodríguez
“I think that he is the better fighter of the two here and as long as Rodriguez is unable to get that early finish here I think we'll see bere put him through the ringer and grind him on route to a decision Victory”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ortega16-5
L
Sterling
Aug '25
L
Lopes
Sep '24
W
Rodríguez
Feb '24
L
Rodríguez
Jul '22
L
Volkanovski
Sep '21
Rodríguez16-5
W
Pitbull
Apr '25
L
Ortega
Feb '24
L
Volkanovski
Jul '23
W
Emmett
Feb '23
W
Ortega
Jul '22