MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Choose a fight to analyse
BR BM Royval vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight BO YR Ortega vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight DZ FP Zellhuber vs PradoMain Card · Lightweight YJ SH Jauregui vs HughesMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MT CD Torres vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight RB CQ Barcelos vs QuiñonezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JA MM Aguilar vs MendonçaPreliminary Card · Flyweight EC DL Chairez vs LacerdaPreliminary Card · Catchweight FZ CP Ziam vs PuellesPreliminary Card · Lightweight RR DB Rodríguez vs BondarPreliminary Card · Flyweight FS VA Santos vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight MN ES Naimov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Barcelos v Quiñonez Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus27 picks · conf 51/99
Barcelos 15
12 Quiñonez
FMBTTM pick Barcelos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Barcelos 21-5 VS 18-5 Quiñonez
5'7" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 135 lb
67" reach 70"
39 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 4.2
51% striking accuracy 40%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
61% striking defence 55%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
32% takedown accuracy 37%
85% takedown defence 84%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KU Kunath picks Cristian Quiñonez VALUE “I think he's going to put hands all over Raoni Barcelos this week”
WP We Want Picks picks Cristian Quiñonez VALUE “I think Christian konas is that guy and can do that again here”
TP The City Life Project picks Raoni Barcelos VALUE “I'm picking Raoni Barcelos to win this one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Raoni Barcelos “I'm going to pick um Quinones”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Raoni Barcelos “I'm picking Raoni Barcelos because I just think he's better” $1.59
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Raoni Barcelos “I think barcelos gets it done though in this one” $1.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raoni Barcelos VALUE “Raoni Barcelos 8,600 yeah the path is definitely there for barcelos this week with the grappling this guy's an elite BJJ black belt we don't get to see it a ton but when he does get fights down to the mat like he's a very very good Grappler and I think it would be be very wise to do that here against Cristian Quiñonez who just makes a ton of mistakes on the mat you know Quinones has been submitted twice and you can kind of see why um and yeah barcelos is just on another level it's just will he go to the wrestling will he not we'll see if he doesn't could he still win this fight sure but you know I think he does have a a clear path in terms of getting this fight down on the ground and potentially getting a sub here”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Cristian Quiñonez “I think konz has the type of style that will give marcelos issues the volume style and footwork heavy style of konas from distance will allow him you to to use his speed advantage and output to try to touch up barcelos while staying away from the pocket exchanges”
WP We Want Picks picks Cristian Quiñonez VALUE “I actually think kinona will win this fight”
AM Aaron The Dog MMA picks Raoni Barcelos “I'm actually going to pick howy barcellos”
AM Aaron The Dog MMA picks Cristian Quiñonez “I'll go with the Mexican fighter in kinon”
HC Hilltown Clips picks Cristian Quiñonez “and Cristian Quiñonez I'm g go with Ken yonz on this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Barcelos21-5
W Jackson Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Simón Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Garbrandt Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Talbott Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Quiñonez Submission · R3 Feb '24
Quiñonez18-5
W Moutinho Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Barcelos Submission · R3 Feb '24
L Kyung-ho Submission · R1 Jun '23