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UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Figueiredo v Garbrandt Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus61 picks · conf 73/99
Figueiredo 45
16 Garbrandt
IPTDBE pick Figueiredo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Figueiredo 25-6-1 VS 0-0 Garbrandt
5'5" height 5'8"
138 lb weight 136 lb
68" reach 65"
38 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.0
44% striking accuracy 40%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
46% striking defence 60%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
37% takedown accuracy 34%
58% takedown defence 80%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Cody Garbrandt “Cody Garbrandt really why I think I think davo is a little bit more well-rounded why Cody Garbrandt I man and and like he's got a lot to prove over there”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I see this as a quick night at the office for uh for Deiveson Figueiredo I think that he's going to get a finish here”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Cody Garbrandt “it's Deiveson Figueiredo Jéssica Andrade Cody Garbrandt at minus 310 Cody Garbrandt at plus 260 ... really like this recorded Cody Garbrandt all um Cody Garbrandt and choke him out”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Deiveson Figueiredo “give me Deiveson Figueiredo to win”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 going with Cody Garbrandt he going to be my first Underdog... I see him knocking Deiveson Figueiredo”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Deiveson Figueiredo “my official pick and my subscribers official pick um is davidon figero”
EB ESPN BET picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “I'm going with figgy all right let's just keep the good times rolling here with our long shot parlay of the week”
EB ESPN BET picks Cody Garbrandt “Davis and figuro pretty big favorite here against Cody garbrandt you know what listen Cody's extremely skilled he's got good hands but look at the look in figgy's face he is a real life superhero villain figgy gets this done by knockout I don't trust Cody's chin ever ever ever”
SD Skyler Dagley picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I'm going to take Davis and figero I think figuro is just a little too good and I think he will I don't maybe he'll get the stoppage in the third round but I can see this fight being a good technical brawl till the final Bell and Davon will get his hand raised”
KU Kamaru Usman picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I'm going to go with Cody garbrandt on that one”
GC Gethin Ellis Coaching picks Cody Garbrandt “I think Cody Garbrandt comes back I think Cody Garbrandt wins this I really really do”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “Cody Garbrandt is the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Figueiredo25-6-1
L Yadong Submission · R2 May '26
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Jackson Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Sandhagen KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Yan Decision · R5 Nov '24
Garbrandt0-0
W Long Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Figueiredo Submission · R2 Apr '24
W Kelleher KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Jones Decision · R3 Mar '23