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Pereira vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pereira vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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YX
Weili vs XiaonanMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MH
JG
Holloway vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight
AT
CO
Tsarukyan vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
BN
CB
Nickal vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
JP
AR
Procházka vs RakićPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AS
CK
Sterling vs KattarPreliminary Card · Featherweight
KH
HH
Harrison vs HolmPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
DL
SY
Lopes vs YusuffPreliminary Card · Featherweight
RM
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Moicano vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JA
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Andrade vs RodriguezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BG
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Green vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Figueiredo vs GarbrandtEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pereira v Hill
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3
VS
12-2 Hill
6'4"
height
6'4"
251 lb
weight
206 lb
79"
reach
79"
38
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
7.2
54%
striking accuracy
54%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
61%
striking defence
46%
0.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
0%
takedown accuracy
0%
92%
takedown defence
73%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Jamahal Hill
“I am going Jamahal Hill”
GLO MMA picks Jamahal Hill
“I am going Jamahal Hill”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Jamahal Hill
“we have to choose and I'll be pigging Jamahal Hill to choose and I'll be pigging Jamahal Hill ... I am picking Jamahal Hill to come with an underdog winner”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Jamahal Hill
“we have to choose and I'll be pigging Jamahal Hill to choose and I'll be pigging Jamahal Hill ... I am picking Jamahal Hill to come with an underdog winner”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Alex Pereira
“gonna go with Alex Pereira on this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Alex Pereira
“gonna go with Alex Pereira on this one”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alex Pereira
“I'm going with Alex Pereira you can still get him at minus 130”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alex Pereira
“I'm going with Alex Pereira you can still get him at minus 130”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jamahal Hill
“I went with Jamahal Hill”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jamahal Hill
“I went with Jamahal Hill”
EB
ESPN BET picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“I'm with you I think you can play this in a way where you get him by stop I don't see it going the full five rounds with you on that plus 175 that's how I play the main event”
$2.75
ESPN BET picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“I'm with you I think you can play this in a way where you get him by stop I don't see it going the full five rounds with you on that plus 175 that's how I play the main event”
$2.75
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“my preferred play for people who are only playing one lineup or maybe just people who only want to play one side of the main event it is going to be Alex Pereira as my Preferred fighter”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“my preferred play for people who are only playing one lineup or maybe just people who only want to play one side of the main event it is going to be Alex Pereira as my Preferred fighter”
PP
Productive Conversations Podcast picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira is going to win you can I I go for the money line”
Productive Conversations Podcast picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira is going to win you can I I go for the money line”
KU
Kamaru Usman picks Alex Pereira
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira for the win”
Kamaru Usman picks Alex Pereira
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira for the win”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I like Alex Pereira on the money line at about minus 130”
$1.77
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I like Alex Pereira on the money line at about minus 130”
$1.77
TP
The Darce Podcast picks Jamahal Hill
“give me Jamahal Hill money thing that I really disliked about Alex Pereira... don't be surprised the sweet Jamahal Hill puts Alex Pereira down Jamahal Hill puts Alex Pereira down”
The Darce Podcast picks Jamahal Hill
“give me Jamahal Hill money thing that I really disliked about Alex Pereira... don't be surprised the sweet Jamahal Hill puts Alex Pereira down Jamahal Hill puts Alex Pereira down”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Rountree Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24
Hill12-2
L
Rountree Jr.
Jun '25
L
Procházka
Jan '25
L
Pereira
Apr '24
W
Teixeira
Jan '23
W
Santos
Aug '22