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Pereira vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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YX
Weili vs XiaonanMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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JG
Holloway vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight
AT
CO
Tsarukyan vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
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CB
Nickal vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
JP
AR
Procházka vs RakićPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Sterling vs KattarPreliminary Card · Featherweight
KH
HH
Harrison vs HolmPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
DL
SY
Lopes vs YusuffPreliminary Card · Featherweight
RM
JT
Moicano vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Andrade vs RodriguezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Green vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Figueiredo vs GarbrandtEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Sterling v Kattar
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sterling 25-5
VS
23-8 Kattar
5'7"
height
5'11"
153 lb
weight
146 lb
71"
reach
72"
36
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.7
strikes landed / min
4.8
44%
striking accuracy
39%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
6.8
55%
striking defence
54%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
27%
takedown accuracy
29%
63%
takedown defence
72%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Aljamain Sterling
“I'm going with Aljamain Sterling by have did in the Aljamain Sterling fight”
GLO MMA picks Aljamain Sterling
“I'm going with Aljamain Sterling by have did in the Aljamain Sterling fight”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Calvin Kattar
“I like Calvin Kattar to fight and I actually like Calvin Kattar as a Calvin Kattar um this line is off it should actually wins this fight um Calvin Kattar ... I love love love Calvin Kattar here ... Calvin Kattar is my own pick ... I have Calvin Kattar as my”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Calvin Kattar
“I like Calvin Kattar to fight and I actually like Calvin Kattar as a Calvin Kattar um this line is off it should actually wins this fight um Calvin Kattar ... I love love love Calvin Kattar here ... Calvin Kattar is my own pick ... I have Calvin Kattar as my”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Aljamain Sterling
“I'm gonna pick Aljamain Sterling here”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Aljamain Sterling
“I'm gonna pick Aljamain Sterling here”
TP
The City Life Project picks Calvin Kattar
“my official pick is going to be Zhang Weiliavidson figuro locking it in”
The City Life Project picks Calvin Kattar
“my official pick is going to be Zhang Weiliavidson figuro locking it in”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Aljamain Sterling
“my official pick on this one is Alain Sterling um my subscribers also picked Aljamain Sterling”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Aljamain Sterling
“my official pick on this one is Alain Sterling um my subscribers also picked Aljamain Sterling”
EB
ESPN BET picks Aljamain Sterling
“it's Aljamain Sterling taking on Calvin Kattar who comes back from that knee injury”
ESPN BET picks Aljamain Sterling
“it's Aljamain Sterling taking on Calvin Kattar who comes back from that knee injury”
EB
ESPN BET picks Calvin Kattar VALUE
“come on Calvin Kar at plus 140 he's going a stuff to takedowns he's better on the feet he'll be bigger Longer reach at plus 140 Calvin Kadar give me the underdog”
$2.40
ESPN BET picks Calvin Kattar VALUE
“come on Calvin Kar at plus 140 he's going a stuff to takedowns he's better on the feet he'll be bigger Longer reach at plus 140 Calvin Kadar give me the underdog”
$2.40
SD
Skyler Dagley picks Aljamain Sterling
“I'm going to go with alamain I'm going to go with Alaine”
Skyler Dagley picks Aljamain Sterling
“I'm going to go with alamain I'm going to go with Alaine”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Calvin Kattar VALUE
“I'm picking him to win the fight outright and he is cheaper”
$2.47
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Calvin Kattar VALUE
“I'm picking him to win the fight outright and he is cheaper”
$2.47
GC
Gethin Ellis Coaching picks Aljamain Sterling
“I think Aljamain Sterling beats Calvin Kattar really really do”
Gethin Ellis Coaching picks Aljamain Sterling
“I think Aljamain Sterling beats Calvin Kattar really really do”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Calvin Kattar VALUE
“I like ha here”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Calvin Kattar VALUE
“I like ha here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Aljamain Sterling
“I am going to slightly like ridiculously ever so slightly pick Al Jermain”
We Want Picks picks Aljamain Sterling
“I am going to slightly like ridiculously ever so slightly pick Al Jermain”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sterling25-5
W
Zalal
Apr '26
W
Ortega
Aug '25
L
Evloev
Dec '24
W
Kattar
Apr '24
L
O'Malley
Aug '23
Kattar23-8
L
Garcia
Jul '25
L
Zalal
Feb '25
L
Sterling
Apr '24
L
Allen
Oct '22
L
Emmett
Jun '22