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Weili vs XiaonanMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Holloway vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight
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Tsarukyan vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Nickal vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
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Procházka vs RakićPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Sterling vs KattarPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Harrison vs HolmPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Lopes vs YusuffPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Moicano vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tsarukyan v Oliveira
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tsarukyan 22-3
VS
36-11 Oliveira
5'7"
height
5'10"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
74"
29
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
3.7
48%
striking accuracy
48%
1.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
53%
striking defence
53%
3.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
37%
takedown accuracy
44%
75%
takedown defence
57%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
2.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Charles Oliveira
“I got Charles Oliveira third to take Charles Oliveira down”
GLO MMA picks Charles Oliveira
“I got Charles Oliveira third to take Charles Oliveira down”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Charles Oliveira
“I'll be rooting for Charles Oliveira but I think”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Charles Oliveira
“I'll be rooting for Charles Oliveira but I think”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Oliveira
“my official pick is Charles Oliveira”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Oliveira
“my official pick is Charles Oliveira”
TH
TheMacLife picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE
“first up on the scale Arman Tsarukyan official weight 156”
TheMacLife picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE
“first up on the scale Arman Tsarukyan official weight 156”
EB
ESPN BET picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE
“I'm going with cian takes him down not only wins I think he gets it done inside the distance like that”
$1.44
ESPN BET picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE
“I'm going with cian takes him down not only wins I think he gets it done inside the distance like that”
$1.44
EB
ESPN BET picks Charles Oliveira
“a lot of people and Joe talks about the public they're going to be salivating over Alla at plus odds I get it he's tough he's got the punching power the submission game but why do we always ignore every fight the first round he gets dropped”
$2.85
ESPN BET picks Charles Oliveira
“a lot of people and Joe talks about the public they're going to be salivating over Alla at plus odds I get it he's tough he's got the punching power the submission game but why do we always ignore every fight the first round he gets dropped”
$2.85
SD
Skyler Dagley picks Charles Oliveira
“my official prediction for this fight is Charles Oliveira du Bronx Olivera to win by a decision”
Skyler Dagley picks Charles Oliveira
“my official prediction for this fight is Charles Oliveira du Bronx Olivera to win by a decision”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Charles Oliveira
“if Arman Tsarukian gets on top of Charles Oliveiraa and ol is just content to lay on bottom he's going to end up losing the fight”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Charles Oliveira
“if Arman Tsarukian gets on top of Charles Oliveiraa and ol is just content to lay on bottom he's going to end up losing the fight”
GC
Gethin Ellis Coaching picks Charles Oliveira
“I think Charles Oliveira wins”
Gethin Ellis Coaching picks Charles Oliveira
“I think Charles Oliveira wins”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm gonna pick Charles Oliveira here”
$2.80
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm gonna pick Charles Oliveira here”
$2.80
TP
The Darce Podcast picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“plus 185 for Charles Oliveira ... I got to take a shot on Charles Oliveira”
$2.85
The Darce Podcast picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“plus 185 for Charles Oliveira ... I got to take a shot on Charles Oliveira”
$2.85
WP
We Want Picks picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE
“Arman cian I believe wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE
“Arman cian I believe wins this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tsarukyan22-3
W
Hooker
Nov '25
W
Oliveira
Apr '24
W
Dariush
Dec '23
W
Silva
Jun '23
W
Ismagulov
Dec '22
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24