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Smith vs PetrinoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pereira vs PotieriaMain Card · Middleweight
CB
PC
Borralho vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
JB
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Brito vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight
IL
KK
Lucindo vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MO
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Orolbai vs BrenerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DK
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Klose vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MR
JM
Ruffy vs MullarkeyEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Barbosa vs KareckaitėEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
IB
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Bonfim vs PichelEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
AC
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Costa vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Barbosa v Kareckaitė
Women'S Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Barbosa 8-4
VS
5-1-1 Kareckaitė
5'6"
height
—
125 lb
weight
—
66"
reach
—
34
age
27
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
1.9
strikes landed / min
7.9
48%
striking accuracy
42%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
6.9
66%
striking defence
43%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
28%
takedown accuracy
66%
42%
takedown defence
86%
2.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Dione Barbosa
“I'm gonna go with Dione Barbosa ... Dione Barbosa to take her down”
The Rambling Dad picks Dione Barbosa
“I'm gonna go with Dione Barbosa ... Dione Barbosa to take her down”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I'm gonna go with big Ernesta Kareckaitė mate Ernesta Kareckaitė get it in”
The Rambling Dad picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I'm gonna go with big Ernesta Kareckaitė mate Ernesta Kareckaitė get it in”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Dione Barbosa
“Dione Barbosa decision yeah sure decisions Dione Barbosa by decision”
The MMA-Holes picks Dione Barbosa
“Dione Barbosa decision yeah sure decisions Dione Barbosa by decision”
MM
Magnusisp MMA picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I'm going to go with Ernesta Kareckaitė”
Magnusisp MMA picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I'm going to go with Ernesta Kareckaitė”
FO
ForTheScrappers picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“give me Ernesta Kareckaitė by of course who would have guessed a decision”
ForTheScrappers picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“give me Ernesta Kareckaitė by of course who would have guessed a decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dione Barbosa VALUE
“I'm going to have to go with diona babosa”
We Want Picks picks Dione Barbosa VALUE
“I'm going to have to go with diona babosa”
MA
MMA Attic picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“according to the model ernesta is a live Underdog but it doesn't fit into our betting strategy”
MMA Attic picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“according to the model ernesta is a live Underdog but it doesn't fit into our betting strategy”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“I'm actually going to Ernesta Kareckaitė and she's actually one of my favorite dogs”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“I'm actually going to Ernesta Kareckaitė and she's actually one of my favorite dogs”
TH
TheWeasle picks Dione Barbosa
“I think Dione Barbosa gets the fight to the ground and gets the win”
TheWeasle picks Dione Barbosa
“I think Dione Barbosa gets the fight to the ground and gets the win”
MM
Meo on MMA picks Dione Barbosa
“Barbosa by decision”
Meo on MMA picks Dione Barbosa
“Barbosa by decision”
GM
GC MMA picks Dione Barbosa
“I'm GNA have to go with Dione Barbosa um I don't know who's the favorite or who's beat the better of the two opponents I just [ __ ] with Dione Barbosa from Pirates of the Caribbean I'm just going to have to [ __ ] yeah”
GC MMA picks Dione Barbosa
“I'm GNA have to go with Dione Barbosa um I don't know who's the favorite or who's beat the better of the two opponents I just [ __ ] with Dione Barbosa from Pirates of the Caribbean I'm just going to have to [ __ ] yeah”
AM
AJ MMA picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I have Ernesta Kareckaitė winning”
AJ MMA picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I have Ernesta Kareckaitė winning”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Barbosa8-4
W
Gatto
Apr '26
L
Silva
Aug '25
W
Belbiţă
Apr '25
L
Maverick
Jul '24
W
Kareckaitė
May '24
Kareckaitė5-1-1
L
Tarin
Feb '26
W
Caliari
Jan '25
L
Barbosa
May '24