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Pantoja vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
JA
JM
Aldo vs MartinezMain Card · Bantamweight
AS
VP
Smith vs PetrinoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MP
IP
Pereira vs PotieriaMain Card · Middleweight
CB
PC
Borralho vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
JB
JS
Brito vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight
IL
KK
Lucindo vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MO
EB
Orolbai vs BrenerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DK
JS
Klose vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MR
JM
Ruffy vs MullarkeyEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
DB
EK
Barbosa vs KareckaitėEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
IB
VP
Bonfim vs PichelEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
AC
KB
Costa vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pantoja v Erceg
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5
VS
13-4 Erceg
5'5"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
68"
36
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
49%
striking accuracy
48%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
50%
striking defence
53%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
47%
takedown accuracy
26%
68%
takedown defence
60%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Steve Erceg
“I think Steve Erceg is going to take advantage of this moment kind of see an upset right I do I really think Steve Erceg can pull this off”
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Steve Erceg
“I think Steve Erceg is going to take advantage of this moment kind of see an upset right I do I really think Steve Erceg can pull this off”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I'm riding with Alexandre Pantoja I'm going I'm telling you right now I'm picking him”
The MMA-Holes picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I'm riding with Alexandre Pantoja I'm going I'm telling you right now I'm picking him”
PH
Pound 4 Pound with Kamaru & Henry picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I'm going with the upset here I'm going with the 12 and one Steve Erceg I'm going with Steve Erceg”
Pound 4 Pound with Kamaru & Henry picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I'm going with the upset here I'm going with the 12 and one Steve Erceg I'm going with Steve Erceg”
KU
Kunath picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I have Steve ersag winning this fight”
Kunath picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I have Steve ersag winning this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I actually have alesandro Costa to win this fight by decision”
Kunath picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I actually have alesandro Costa to win this fight by decision”
SP
Sportshouse picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja favored to win unless odds reach mid2 200 range”
Sportshouse picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja favored to win unless odds reach mid2 200 range”
TS
Teddy Striker picks Steve Erceg
“I can definitely see Steve Erceg like winning this”
Teddy Striker picks Steve Erceg
“I can definitely see Steve Erceg like winning this”
FI
FightDudes picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“give me Alexandre Pantoja”
FightDudes picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“give me Alexandre Pantoja”
FF
Fightin With Friendz picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I'll put some money down on him and hopefully uh on Sunday I'll be a rich man easy for let's see”
Fightin With Friendz picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I'll put some money down on him and hopefully uh on Sunday I'll be a rich man easy for let's see”
CZ
Comedian Black Zeus picks Steve Erceg
“I I I want to watch Steve Erceg honestly...you going against him again yeah”
Comedian Black Zeus picks Steve Erceg
“I I I want to watch Steve Erceg honestly...you going against him again yeah”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Alexandre Pantoja
“and I expected Alexandre Pantoja my first prediction you know Alexandre Pantoja is probably going to sub round”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Alexandre Pantoja
“and I expected Alexandre Pantoja my first prediction you know Alexandre Pantoja is probably going to sub round”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L
Van
Dec '25
W
Kara-France
Jun '25
W
Asakura
Dec '24
W
Erceg
May '24
W
Royval
Dec '23
Erceg13-4
W
Elliott
May '26
W
Osbourne
Aug '25
L
Moreno
Mar '25
L
Kara-France
Aug '24
L
Pantoja
May '24