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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lucindo v Kowalkiewicz Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus33 picks · conf 56/99
Lucindo 23
10 Kowalkiewicz
IPFL1T pick Lucindo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lucindo 17-5 VS 16-10 Kowalkiewicz
5'3" height 5'3"
115 lb weight 116 lb
66" reach 64"
24 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 5.5
45% striking accuracy 43%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
66% striking defence 57%
2.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
57% takedown accuracy 22%
66% takedown defence 74%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Iasmin Lucindo “I'm going to go Iasmin Lucindo I think over um yeah I'm going to go with Iasmin Lucindo on William I'm gonna go with um Iasmin Lucindo as well Iasmin Lucindo house for me I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo as time”
TH TheGreyFaction picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “13 R Karolina Kowalkiewicz Iasmin Lucindo could be a great F”
MM Magnusisp MMA picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “I think Karolina Kowalkiewicz is going to win she's on a four fight win streak”
WP We Want Picks picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE “I think she sort of unfortunately is going to make karolina look a little old and a little worn out in this fight”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE “I think that lucendo more powerful on the feet more durable gonna be able to take better shots” $1.25
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE “I've got Iasmin Lucindo by probably ground and pound knockout”
MM Meo on MMA picks Iasmin Lucindo “I've got to go with lucendo by decision”
DM Daredevil MMA picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “I'm going to go with Karolina Kowalkiewicz here for the plus money I would not bet on this fight cuz I don't bet on women's fights uh but I'm just saying that's some good plus money in my opinion” $3.50
TB Totally Blitzed picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz VALUE “I will be taking her this fight” $4.25
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE “I picked Iasmin Lucindo I feel like in this situation Iasmin Lucindo um is a favorite for a reason I honestly don't see her actually um losing” $1.29
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Iasmin Lucindo “Iasmin Iasmin Lucindo by decision”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “Karolina Karolina Kowalkiewicz”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lucindo17-5
W Hill Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Lemos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Kowalkiewicz Decision · R3 May '24
W Viana Submission · R2 Aug '23
Kowalkiewicz16-10
L Polastri KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Lucindo Decision · R3 May '24
W Belbiţă Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Demopoulos Decision · R3 May '23